Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 41.53%. A win for Salernitana had a probability of 32.88% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.82%) and 0-2 (6.97%). The likeliest Salernitana win was 1-0 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bologna would win this match.
Result | ||
Salernitana | Draw | Bologna |
32.88% ( -0.02) | 25.59% ( 0.01) | 41.53% ( 0.02) |
Both teams to score 54.99% ( -0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.08% ( -0.04) | 48.92% ( 0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.99% ( -0.04) | 71.01% ( 0.04) |
Salernitana Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.77% ( -0.03) | 28.23% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.06% ( -0.05) | 63.93% ( 0.05) |
Bologna Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.61% ( -0.01) | 23.38% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.63% ( -0.02) | 57.36% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Salernitana | Draw | Bologna |
1-0 @ 8.35% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.67% ( -0) 2-0 @ 5.28% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.24% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.35% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.23% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.02% ( -0) Other @ 2.75% Total : 32.88% | 1-1 @ 12.13% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.6% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.58% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.14% ( -0) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.59% | 0-1 @ 9.59% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.82% ( 0) 0-2 @ 6.97% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 4.27% ( -0) 0-3 @ 3.38% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.7% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.55% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.23% ( 0) 2-4 @ 0.98% ( -0) Other @ 2.04% Total : 41.53% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Germany | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | Switzerland | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | Hungary | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | Scotland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Austria | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | France | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | Netherlands | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | Poland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |