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Serie A | Gameweek 12
Nov 10, 2024 at 11.30am UK
Gewiss Stadium
Udinese logo

Atalanta
2 - 1
Udinese

Pasalic (56'), Toure (60' og.)
Lookman (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Kamara (45+3')
Toure (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Atalanta BC and Udinese, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stuttgart 0-2 Atalanta
Wednesday, November 6 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Udinese 0-2 Juventus
Saturday, November 2 at 5pm in Serie A

We said: Atalanta BC 2-1 Udinese

Although Udinese pose more of a threat than last term, Atalanta's recent defensive record is only outshone by their towering tally of goals. Even if the Bianconeri do find the net, La Dea should still out-score them and seal a fifth straight success. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 72.13%. A draw had a probability of 17.1% and a win for Udinese had a probability of 10.75%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.53%) and 3-0 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.13%), while for a Udinese win it was 0-1 (3.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Atalanta BC in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Atalanta BC.

Result
Atalanta BCDrawUdinese
72.13% (0.075000000000003 0.08) 17.13% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02) 10.75% (-0.052 -0.05)
Both teams to score 48.52% (-0.122 -0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.72% (-0.062999999999995 -0.06)40.28% (0.065999999999995 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.35% (-0.064 -0.06)62.65% (0.067999999999998 0.07)
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.18% (0.0039999999999907 0)9.82% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.38% (0.0040000000000049 0)32.61% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Udinese Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.8% (-0.139 -0.14)46.2% (0.142 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.12% (-0.109 -0.11)81.87% (0.111 0.11)
Score Analysis
    Atalanta BC 72.12%
    Udinese 10.75%
    Draw 17.13%
Atalanta BCDrawUdinese
2-0 @ 12.21% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
1-0 @ 10.53% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
3-0 @ 9.45% (0.028 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.44% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
3-1 @ 7.3% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-0 @ 5.48% (0.017 0.02)
4-1 @ 4.23% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-2 @ 2.82% (-0.014 -0.01)
5-0 @ 2.54% (0.008 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.97% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.64% (-0.008 -0.01)
6-0 @ 0.98% (0.003 0)
Other @ 3.54%
Total : 72.12%
1-1 @ 8.13% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.54% (0.014 0.01)
2-2 @ 3.64% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 17.13%
0-1 @ 3.51% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-2 @ 3.14% (-0.015 -0.01)
0-2 @ 1.35% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
2-3 @ 0.94% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 1.81%
Total : 10.75%

How you voted: Atalanta vs Udinese

Atalanta BC
89.2%
Draw
8.8%
Udinese
2.0%
102
Head to Head
Jan 27, 2024 2pm
Gameweek 22
Atalanta
2-0
Udinese
Miranchuk (33'), Scamacca (45+1')
Pasalic (75'), Ederson (77')

Kristensen (28')
Nov 12, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 12
Udinese
1-1
Atalanta
Walace (44')
Ferreira (41'), Bijol (77')
Ederson (90+2')
Hateboer (37'), Koopmeiners (58'), de Roon (89')
Mar 4, 2023 5pm
Oct 9, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 9
Udinese
2-2
Atalanta
Deulofeu (67'), Perez (78')
Lookman (36'), Muriel (56' pen.)
Jan 9, 2022 3.30pm
Gameweek 21
Udinese
2-6
Atalanta
Djimsiti (59' og.), Beto (88')
Becao (30'), Deulofeu (44')
Pasalic (17'), Muriel (22', 76'), Malinovskyi (43'), Maehle (89'), Pessina (90+2')
de Roon (45+1'), Djimsiti (77')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta15111338172134
2Napoli15102321101132
3Inter Milan1494134151931
4Fiorentina1494128101831
5Lazio15101430171331
6Juventus1569024101427
7AC Milan146442416822
8Bologna145722018222
9Udinese156271822-420
10Empoli154741415-119
11Roma154471821-316
12Torino154471620-416
13Parma153662125-415
14Genoa153661324-1115
15CagliariCagliari153571525-1014
16Lecce15348826-1813
17Como152671628-1212
18Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1540111837-1912
19Monza151771319-610
20VeneziaVenezia1523101327-149


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