Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 42.55%. A win for Udinese had a probability of 30.55% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.7%) and 0-2 (7.82%). The likeliest Udinese win was 1-0 (9.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Juventus would win this match.
Result | ||
Udinese | Draw | Juventus |
30.55% ( 0.43) | 26.89% ( 0.37) | 42.55% ( -0.81) |
Both teams to score 49.96% ( -0.92) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.01% ( -1.28) | 54.99% ( 1.28) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.74% ( -1.07) | 76.26% ( 1.07) |
Udinese Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.13% ( -0.35) | 32.87% ( 0.35) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.55% ( -0.39) | 69.45% ( 0.39) |
Juventus Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.43% ( -0.98) | 25.57% ( 0.99) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.56% ( -1.36) | 60.44% ( 1.37) |
Score Analysis |
Udinese | Draw | Juventus |
1-0 @ 9.35% ( 0.37) 2-1 @ 7.09% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 5.2% ( 0.16) 3-1 @ 2.63% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 1.93% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 1.79% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.56% Total : 30.55% | 1-1 @ 12.75% ( 0.15) 0-0 @ 8.41% ( 0.41) 2-2 @ 4.84% ( -0.13) Other @ 0.9% Total : 26.89% | 0-1 @ 11.46% ( 0.25) 1-2 @ 8.7% ( -0.14) 0-2 @ 7.82% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 3.95% ( -0.18) 0-3 @ 3.55% ( -0.13) 2-3 @ 2.2% ( -0.12) 1-4 @ 1.35% ( -0.1) 0-4 @ 1.21% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.31% Total : 42.55% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 19 | 14 | 2 | 3 | 30 | 12 | 18 | 44 |
2 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 18 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 43 | 20 | 23 | 41 |
3 | Inter Milan | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 45 | 15 | 30 | 40 |
4 | Lazio | 19 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 33 | 27 | 6 | 35 |
5 | Juventus | 18 | 7 | 11 | 0 | 30 | 15 | 15 | 32 |
6 | Fiorentina | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 31 | 18 | 13 | 32 |
7 | Bologna | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 28 |
8 | AC Milan | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 26 | 17 | 9 | 27 |
9 | Udinese | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 25 |
10 | Roma | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 26 | 24 | 2 | 23 |
11 | Torino | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 21 |
12 | Empoli | 19 | 4 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 20 |
13 | Genoa | 19 | 4 | 8 | 7 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 20 |
14 | Parma | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 25 | 34 | -9 | 19 |
15 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 19 | 6 | 1 | 12 | 24 | 42 | -18 | 19 |
16 | Como | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 30 | -10 | 18 |
17 | CagliariCagliari | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 32 | -14 | 17 |
18 | Lecce | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 31 | -20 | 17 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 19 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 32 | -14 | 14 |
20 | Monza | 19 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 17 | 27 | -10 | 10 |
> Serie A Full Table |