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Serie A | Gameweek 8
Oct 19, 2024 at 5pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Udinese logo

AC Milan
1 - 0
Udinese

Chukwueze (13')
Terracciano (49'), Maignan (90')
Reijnders (29')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Bijol (43'), Lucca (83'), Kamara (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between AC Milan and Udinese, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AC Milan

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Fiorentina 2-1 AC Milan
Sunday, October 6 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Udinese

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Udinese 1-0 Lecce
Saturday, October 5 at 2pm in Serie A

We said: AC Milan 3-1 Udinese

 Defensive doubts may always plague Paulo Fonseca's teams, but they often outscore more modest opposition - particularly on home turf. While, on current form, Udinese can compete with most Serie A sides on their day, Milan will ultimately wrap up maximum points and move above their visitors in the table. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 64.5%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Udinese had a probability of 16.09%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.85%) and 1-0 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.99%), while for a Udinese win it was 1-2 (4.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.

Result
AC MilanDrawUdinese
64.5% (-2.424 -2.42) 19.41% (0.626 0.63) 16.09% (1.796 1.8)
Both teams to score 56.23% (2.333 2.33)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.96% (0.856 0.86)38.04% (-0.859 -0.86)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.69% (0.908 0.91)60.3% (-0.91 -0.91)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.87% (-0.38200000000001 -0.38)11.13% (0.379 0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.44% (-0.845 -0.84)35.56% (0.843 0.84)
Udinese Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.27% (2.882 2.88)36.72% (-2.883 -2.88)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.49% (2.777 2.78)73.51% (-2.779 -2.78)
Score Analysis
    AC Milan 64.5%
    Udinese 16.09%
    Draw 19.41%
AC MilanDrawUdinese
2-1 @ 9.87% (0.061 0.06)
2-0 @ 9.85% (-0.73 -0.73)
1-0 @ 8.97% (-0.521 -0.52)
3-1 @ 7.22% (-0.069 -0.07)
3-0 @ 7.21% (-0.663 -0.66)
4-1 @ 3.97% (-0.101 -0.1)
4-0 @ 3.96% (-0.432 -0.43)
3-2 @ 3.62% (0.241 0.24)
4-2 @ 1.99% (0.103 0.1)
5-1 @ 1.74% (-0.073 -0.07)
5-0 @ 1.74% (-0.221 -0.22)
Other @ 4.37%
Total : 64.5%
1-1 @ 8.99% (0.195 0.2)
2-2 @ 4.94% (0.401 0.4)
0-0 @ 4.09% (-0.17 -0.17)
3-3 @ 1.21% (0.165 0.17)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 19.41%
1-2 @ 4.5% (0.43 0.43)
0-1 @ 4.09% (0.151 0.15)
0-2 @ 2.05% (0.224 0.22)
2-3 @ 1.65% (0.249 0.25)
1-3 @ 1.5% (0.247 0.25)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 16.09%

How you voted: AC Milan vs Udinese

AC Milan
82.7%
Draw
11.5%
Udinese
5.8%
104
Head to Head
Jan 20, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 21
Udinese
2-3
AC Milan
Samardzic (42'), Thauvin (62')
Kamara (45+1'), Ebosele (52'), Thauvin (55'), Walace (65'), Lucca (71'), Ferreira (78')
Loftus-Cheek (31'), Jovic (83'), Okafor (90+3')
Hernandez (88')
> Preview
Nov 4, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
AC Milan
0-1
Udinese

Krunic (18')
Pereyra (62' pen.)
Perez (54'), Kabasele (55')
> Preview
Mar 18, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 27
Udinese
3-1
AC Milan
Pereyra (9'), Beto (45+6'), Ehizibue (70')
Ibrahimovic (45+4' pen.)
> Preview
Aug 13, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 1
AC Milan
4-2
Udinese
Hernandez (11' pen.), Rebic (15', 68'), Diaz (46')
Krunic (34')
Becao (2'), Masina (45+3')
Soppy (9'), Becao (34'), Perez (55'), Ebosele (90+1')
> Preview
Feb 25, 2022 5.50pm
Gameweek 27
AC Milan
1-1
Udinese
Leao (29')
Rebic (68'), Leao (90+4')
Udogie (66')
Perez (17'), Becao (49'), Molina (73'), Success (77')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli128221991026
2Atalanta BCAtalanta1281331151625
3Fiorentina1274125101525
4Inter Milan1274126141225
5Lazio1281325141125
6Juventus126602171424
7AC Milan115332014618
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino124261518-314
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma122641618-212
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona124081727-1012
15Como122461323-1010
16CagliariCagliari122461222-1010
17Genoa12246922-1310
18Lecce12237521-169
19Monza121561015-58
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108
> Serie A Full Table


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