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Serie A | Gameweek 8
Oct 19, 2024 at 5pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Udinese logo

AC Milan
1 - 0
Udinese

Chukwueze (13')
Terracciano (49'), Maignan (90')
Reijnders (29')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Bijol (43'), Lucca (83'), Kamara (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between AC Milan and Udinese, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Fiorentina 2-1 AC Milan
Sunday, October 6 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Udinese 1-0 Lecce
Saturday, October 5 at 2pm in Serie A

We said: AC Milan 3-1 Udinese

Defensive doubts may always plague Paulo Fonseca's teams, but they often outscore more modest opposition - particularly on home turf. While, on current form, Udinese can compete with most Serie A sides on their day, Milan will ultimately wrap up maximum points and move above their visitors in the table. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 64.5%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Udinese had a probability of 16.09%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.85%) and 1-0 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.99%), while for a Udinese win it was 1-2 (4.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.

Result
AC MilanDrawUdinese
64.5% (-2.424 -2.42) 19.41% (0.626 0.63) 16.09% (1.796 1.8)
Both teams to score 56.23% (2.333 2.33)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.96% (0.856 0.86)38.04% (-0.859 -0.86)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.69% (0.908 0.91)60.3% (-0.91 -0.91)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.87% (-0.38200000000001 -0.38)11.13% (0.379 0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.44% (-0.845 -0.84)35.56% (0.843 0.84)
Udinese Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.27% (2.882 2.88)36.72% (-2.883 -2.88)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.49% (2.777 2.78)73.51% (-2.779 -2.78)
Score Analysis
    AC Milan 64.5%
    Udinese 16.09%
    Draw 19.41%
AC MilanDrawUdinese
2-1 @ 9.87% (0.061 0.06)
2-0 @ 9.85% (-0.73 -0.73)
1-0 @ 8.97% (-0.521 -0.52)
3-1 @ 7.22% (-0.069 -0.07)
3-0 @ 7.21% (-0.663 -0.66)
4-1 @ 3.97% (-0.101 -0.1)
4-0 @ 3.96% (-0.432 -0.43)
3-2 @ 3.62% (0.241 0.24)
4-2 @ 1.99% (0.103 0.1)
5-1 @ 1.74% (-0.073 -0.07)
5-0 @ 1.74% (-0.221 -0.22)
Other @ 4.37%
Total : 64.5%
1-1 @ 8.99% (0.195 0.2)
2-2 @ 4.94% (0.401 0.4)
0-0 @ 4.09% (-0.17 -0.17)
3-3 @ 1.21% (0.165 0.17)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 19.41%
1-2 @ 4.5% (0.43 0.43)
0-1 @ 4.09% (0.151 0.15)
0-2 @ 2.05% (0.224 0.22)
2-3 @ 1.65% (0.249 0.25)
1-3 @ 1.5% (0.247 0.25)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 16.09%

How you voted: AC Milan vs Udinese

AC Milan
82.7%
Draw
11.5%
Udinese
5.8%
104
Head to Head
Jan 20, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 21
Udinese
2-3
AC Milan
Samardzic (42'), Thauvin (62')
Kamara (45+1'), Ebosele (52'), Thauvin (55'), Walace (65'), Lucca (71'), Ferreira (78')
Loftus-Cheek (31'), Jovic (83'), Okafor (90+3')
Hernandez (88')
Nov 4, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
AC Milan
0-1
Udinese

Krunic (18')
Pereyra (62' pen.)
Perez (54'), Kabasele (55')
Mar 18, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 27
Udinese
3-1
AC Milan
Pereyra (9'), Beto (45+6'), Ehizibue (70')
Ibrahimovic (45+4' pen.)
Aug 13, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 1
AC Milan
4-2
Udinese
Hernandez (11' pen.), Rebic (15', 68'), Diaz (46')
Krunic (34')
Becao (2'), Masina (45+3')
Soppy (9'), Becao (34'), Perez (55'), Ebosele (90+1')
Feb 25, 2022 5.50pm
Gameweek 27
AC Milan
1-1
Udinese
Leao (29')
Rebic (68'), Leao (90+4')
Udogie (66')
Perez (17'), Becao (49'), Molina (73'), Success (77')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli21162335142150
2Inter Milan20145151183347
3Atalanta BCAtalanta21134446242243
4Lazio2112363728939
5Juventus21813034171737
6Fiorentina2096533211233
7Bologna208933226633
8AC Milan208752921831
9Roma217683127427
10Udinese217592432-826
11Torino215882126-523
12Genoa215881830-1223
13Como215792634-822
14CagliariCagliari2156102334-1121
15Empoli214892028-820
16Parma214892636-1020
17Lecce2155111536-2120
18Hellas VeronaHellas Verona2161142447-2319
19VeneziaVenezia2136121934-1515
20Monza2127122031-1113


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