Serie A | Gameweek 8
Oct 19, 2024 at 5pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
We said: AC Milan 3-1 Udinese
Defensive doubts may always plague Paulo Fonseca's teams, but they often outscore more modest opposition - particularly on home turf.
While, on current form, Udinese can compete with most Serie A sides on their day, Milan will ultimately wrap up maximum points and move above their visitors in the table.
Read more.
Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 64.5% . A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Udinese had a probability of 16.09% .
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.85%) and 1-0 (8.97%) . The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.99%) , while for a Udinese win it was 1-2 (4.5%) . The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 9% likelihood . Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.
Result AC Milan Draw Udinese 64.5% ( -2.42) 19.41% ( 0.63) 16.09% ( 1.8)
Both teams to score 56.23% ( 2.33)
61.96% ( 0.86) 38.04% ( -0.86)
39.69% ( 0.91) 60.3% ( -0.91)
88.87% ( -0.38) 11.13% ( 0.38)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 64.44% ( -0.84) 35.56% ( 0.84)
63.27% ( 2.88) 36.72% ( -2.88)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 26.49% ( 2.78) 73.51% ( -2.78)
AC Milan 64.5%
Udinese 16.09%
Draw 19.41%
AC Milan Draw Udinese 2-1 @ 9.87% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 9.85% ( -0.73) 1-0 @ 8.97% ( -0.52) 3-1 @ 7.22% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 7.21% ( -0.66) 4-1 @ 3.97% ( -0.1) 4-0 @ 3.96% ( -0.43) 3-2 @ 3.62% ( 0.24) 4-2 @ 1.99% ( 0.1) 5-1 @ 1.74% ( -0.07) 5-0 @ 1.74% ( -0.22) Other @ 4.37% Total : 64.5% 1-1 @ 8.99% ( 0.2) 2-2 @ 4.94% ( 0.4) 0-0 @ 4.09% ( -0.17) 3-3 @ 1.21% ( 0.17) Other @ 0.18% Total : 19.41% 1-2 @ 4.5% ( 0.43) 0-1 @ 4.09% ( 0.15) 0-2 @ 2.05% ( 0.22) 2-3 @ 1.65% ( 0.25) 1-3 @ 1.5% ( 0.25) Other @ 2.29% Total : 16.09%
How you voted: AC Milan vs Udinese
104
rhs 2.0
Premier League La Liga Serie A Bundesliga Ligue 1 Primeira Liga Eredivisie Turkish Super Lig Champions League Europa League Conference League Championship League One League Two FA Cup EFL Cup EFL Trophy National League National League Playoffs National League North National League South Women's FA Cup Women's Super League Premier League 2 - Div 1 Premier League 2 - Div 2 Scottish Premiership Scottish Cup Scottish League Cup Scottish Championship Scottish League One Scottish League Two NIFL Premiership Welsh Premier League League of Ireland Premier Copa del Rey Coppa Italia DFB-Pokal KNVB Beker Taca de Portugal Turkish Cup Women's Champions League Greek Superleague Belgian Pro League Swiss Super League Austrian Bundesliga Polish Ekstraklasa Ukrainian Premier League Russian Premier League Norwegian Eliteserien Swedish Allsvenskan Danish Superliga Finnish Veikkausliiga Hungarian NB I Croatian 1. HNL Romanian SuperLiga Czech Liga Slovenian PrvaLiga Slovak First Football League Belarusian Premier League Champions League Qualifying Europa League Qualifying Major League Soccer Brasileiro Argentine Primera Division Liga MX Uruguayan Primera Division Israeli Premier League Saudi Pro League Qatar Stars League Australian A-League Chinese Super League J1 League Copa Libertadores Copa Sudamericana AFC Champions League CONCACAF Champions League Club World Cup Segunda Division Serie B 2.Bundesliga Ligue 2 Eerste Divisie Euro Champ Qualifying Women's World Cup Nations League World Cup European Championship Copa America Africa Cup of Nations CONCACAF Gold Cup Confederations Cup CONCACAF Nations League World Cup Qualifying - Europe World Cup Qualifying - South America World Cup Qualifying - Africa World Cup Qualifying - Asia World Cup Qualifying - North Central America World Cup Qualifying - Oceania African Nations Championship Olympic Games Men's Football Olympic Games Women's Football Women's European Championship SheBelieves Cup Arnold Clark Cup Under-20s World Cup European Under-21s Championship European Under-19s Championship European Under-17s Championship
1
"He's more established": Which striker should Arsenal prioritise over Isak?
2
Have Palmer, Fernandez, Lavia been named in Chelsea side for Wolves game?
3
T20 Series: India vs. England - prediction, team news, series so far
4
Slot reveals extent of Jota injury ahead of Lille clash
5
"Special news for a special footballer": Haaland's "absurd" City contract discussed
6
Champions League permutations: Who needs what to qualify for last 16, playoffs?
7
RB Leipzig vs. Sporting Lisbon - prediction, team news, lineups
8
Shakhtar vs. Brest - prediction, team news, lineups
9
The Reflex: Premier League side 'make new £57m bid' for Villa forward Duran
10
Feyenoord vs. Bayern - prediction, team news, lineups
Trending Rugby Union Stories
Preview: Ireland vs. Australia - prediction, team news, lineups
Preview: England vs. Japan - prediction, team news, lineups
Preview: Scotland vs. Australia - prediction, team news, lineups
Preview: Wales vs. South Africa - prediction, team news, lineups
Preview: Italy vs. New Zealand - prediction, team news, lineups
Trending Basketball Stories
Preview: Los Angeles Clippers vs. Chicago Bulls - prediction, team news, form guide
Preview: Denver Nuggets vs. Philadelphia 76ers - prediction, team news, form guide
Preview: LA Clippers vs. Los Angeles Lakers - prediction, team news, form guide
Preview: Indiana Pacers vs. Philadelphia 76ers - prediction, team news, form guide
Preview: Boston Celtics vs. Orlando Magic - prediction, team news, form guide