Serie A | Gameweek 11
Nov 3, 2024 at 11.30am UK
Stadio Diego Armando Maradona
Napoli0 - 3Atalanta
We said: Napoli 1-1 Atalanta BC
Keeping a clean sheet in seven of their last eight matches, Napoli have recorded an aggregate scoreline of 18-1 during that time. So, even free-scoring Atalanta must approach this game with some trepidation, and they would surely settle for just the second draw in 19 league games between the two teams. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 52.79%. A win for Atalanta BC had a probability of 23.72% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.76%) and 2-0 (8.86%). The likeliest Atalanta BC win was 0-1 (6.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Napoli | Draw | Atalanta BC |
52.79% ( 0.83) | 23.49% ( -0.29) | 23.72% ( -0.54) |
| Both teams to score 55.27% ( 0.35) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
