Serie A | Gameweek 9
Oct 25, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Dacia Arena
Udinese2 - 0Cagliari
We said: Udinese 1-0 Cagliari
Neither side are particularly prolific, so the game could be decided by a single goal - and Udinese are marginal favourites to score it. The hosts have made a fine start to their 2024-25 campaign, while Cagliari are often less effective when away from Sardinian soil. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Udinese win with a probability of 46.39%. A win for Cagliari had a probability of 28.6% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Udinese win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (7.9%). The likeliest Cagliari win was 0-1 (7.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Udinese would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Udinese | Draw | Cagliari |
46.39% ( -0.01) | 25.01% ( 0.01) | 28.6% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 54.78% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.76% ( -0.03) | 48.24% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.61% ( -0.03) | 70.39% ( 0.03) |
| Udinese Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.17% ( -0.02) | 20.83% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 46.49% ( -0.02) | 53.51% ( 0.03) |
| Cagliari Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.19% ( -0.01) | 30.81% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 32.92% ( -0.02) | 67.08% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
Udinese 46.39%
Cagliari 28.6%
Draw 25%
| Udinese | Draw | Cagliari |
| 1-0 @ 10.06% 2-1 @ 9.3% ( -0)2-0 @ 7.9% ( 0)3-1 @ 4.86% ( -0)3-0 @ 4.13% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.86% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.91% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.62% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.12% ( -0)Other @ 2.63% Total : 46.39% | 1-1 @ 11.85% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.42% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.47% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.12% ( -0)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25% | 0-1 @ 7.56% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.98% 0-2 @ 4.45% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.74% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.15% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.75% Other @ 2.99% Total : 28.6% |
How you voted: Udinese vs Cagliari
Udinese
73.1%Draw
15.7%Cagliari
11.1%108
Head to Head
Sep 17, 2023 11.30am
