Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 36.9%. A win for Atalanta BC had a probability of 34.69% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.75%) and 2-0 (6.9%). The likeliest Atalanta BC win was 0-1 (11.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Bologna in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Bologna.
Result | ||
Bologna | Draw | Atalanta BC |
36.9% ( -0.04) | 28.41% ( 0.01) | 34.69% ( 0.02) |
Both teams to score 46.53% ( -0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
40.21% ( -0.04) | 59.79% ( 0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
19.92% ( -0.03) | 80.08% ( 0.03) |
Bologna Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.92% ( -0.04) | 31.07% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.61% ( -0.05) | 67.39% ( 0.05) |
Atalanta BC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.51% ( -0.01) | 32.49% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.98% ( -0.01) | 69.02% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Bologna | Draw | Atalanta BC |
1-0 @ 11.8% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.75% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.9% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.02% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.69% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.7% ( -0) Other @ 3.04% Total : 36.9% | 1-1 @ 13.26% 0-0 @ 10.09% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.36% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.69% Total : 28.4% | 0-1 @ 11.35% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 7.46% ( 0) 0-2 @ 6.38% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.79% 0-3 @ 2.39% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.63% ( -0) Other @ 2.69% Total : 34.69% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 26 |
2 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 31 | 15 | 16 | 25 |
3 | Fiorentina | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 25 | 10 | 15 | 25 |
4 | Inter Milan | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 26 | 14 | 12 | 25 |
5 | Lazio | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 25 | 14 | 11 | 25 |
6 | Juventus | 12 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 21 | 7 | 14 | 24 |
7 | AC Milan | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 14 | 6 | 18 |
8 | Bologna | 11 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 18 |
9 | Udinese | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 16 |
10 | Empoli | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 15 |
11 | Torino | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 14 |
12 | Roma | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 13 |
13 | Parma | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 12 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 12 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 17 | 27 | -10 | 12 |
15 | Como | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 10 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 10 |
17 | Genoa | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 22 | -13 | 10 |
18 | Lecce | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 21 | -16 | 9 |
19 | Monza | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 8 |
20 | VeneziaVenezia | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 8 |
> Serie A Full Table |