Serie A | Gameweek 11
Nov 3, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Renato Dall'Ara
We said: Bologna 1-1 Lazio
A goalless stalemate was played out the last time these two teams butted heads in March, and another closely-fought contest could be on the cards on Friday.
Bologna's recent unbeaten streak on home soil bodes well heading into this fixture and we believe that they will do enough to frustrate Lazio and claim a share of the spoils.
Read more.
Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 43.65% . A win for Lazio had a probability of 29.57% and a draw had a probability of 26.8% .
The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.62% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.81%) and 2-0 (8.06%) . The likeliest Lazio win was 0-1 (9.15%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%) . The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood . Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Bologna in this match.
Result Bologna Draw Lazio 43.65% ( 0.52) 26.77% ( -0.01) 29.57% ( -0.51)
Both teams to score 49.85% ( -0.21)
45.08% ( -0.15) 54.91% ( 0.15)
23.8% ( -0.13) 76.2% ( 0.12)
75.02% ( 0.2) 24.97% ( -0.2)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 40.37% ( 0.27) 59.62% ( -0.27)
66.44% ( -0.46) 33.55% ( 0.45)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 29.8% ( -0.5) 70.19% ( 0.5)
Bologna 43.64%
Lazio 29.57%
Draw 26.77%
Bologna Draw Lazio 1-0 @ 11.62% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 8.81% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 8.06% ( 0.14) 3-1 @ 4.07% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 3.73% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 2.22% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.41% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.29% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.42% Total : 43.64% 1-1 @ 12.69% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.38% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 4.81% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.89% Total : 26.77% 0-1 @ 9.15% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 6.93% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 5% ( -0.1) 1-3 @ 2.52% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 1.82% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 1.75% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.4% Total : 29.57%
How you voted: Bologna vs Lazio
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rhs 2.0
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