Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 71.07%. A draw had a probability of 16.5% and a win for Cagliari had a probability of 12.43%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.39%) and 0-3 (8.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.45%), while for a Cagliari win it was 2-1 (3.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.
