Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cagliari win with a probability of 37.18%. A win for Frosinone had a probability of 35.6% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cagliari win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.06%) and 2-0 (6.63%). The likeliest Frosinone win was 0-1 (10.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cagliari would win this match.
Result | ||
Cagliari | Draw | Frosinone |
37.18% ( 0.05) | 27.23% ( -0.04) | 35.6% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 50.17% ( 0.12) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.7% ( 0.15) | 55.3% ( -0.15) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.48% ( 0.13) | 76.52% ( -0.12) |
Cagliari Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.31% ( 0.1) | 28.69% ( -0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.49% ( 0.13) | 64.51% ( -0.12) |
Frosinone Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.35% ( 0.07) | 29.65% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.3% ( 0.09) | 65.7% ( -0.08) |
Score Analysis |
Cagliari | Draw | Frosinone |
1-0 @ 10.62% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 8.06% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.63% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.36% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 2.76% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.04% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.05% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.66% Total : 37.17% | 1-1 @ 12.91% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.51% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 4.9% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.91% Total : 27.23% | 0-1 @ 10.34% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 7.85% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 6.29% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.18% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.55% 2-3 @ 1.99% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 0.97% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.44% Total : 35.59% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Germany | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | Switzerland | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | Hungary | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | Scotland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Austria | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | France | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | Netherlands | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | Poland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |