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Serie A | Gameweek 6
Sep 28, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Stadio Benito Stirpe
Fiorentina logo

Frosinone
1 - 1
Fiorentina

Soule (70')
Mazzitelli (51'), Okoli (64'), Oyono (87')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Gonzalez (19')
Milenkovic (22'), Parisi (69'), Mandragora (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Serie A clash between Frosinone and Fiorentina, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Salernitana 1-1 Frosinone
Friday, September 22 at 5.30pm in Serie A

We said: Frosinone 2-2 Fiorentina

Frosinone have averaged over two goals per game on home turf this term, so should be expected to score at least once against a hit-and-miss Fiorentina side being tested by an intense schedule. Amid a run of six games in 17 days, the Viola may slip up at Stadio Stirpe, where their hosts have proved impressive so far. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 47.94%. A win for Frosinone had a probability of 27.11% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.4%) and 0-2 (8.32%). The likeliest Frosinone win was 1-0 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
FrosinoneDrawFiorentina
27.11% (0.441 0.44) 24.96% (0.426 0.43) 47.94% (-0.867 -0.87)
Both teams to score 53.85% (-1.008 -1.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.05% (-1.497 -1.5)48.95% (1.496 1.5)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.96% (-1.368 -1.37)71.04% (1.369 1.37)
Frosinone Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.69% (-0.447 -0.45)32.31% (0.446 0.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.19% (-0.508 -0.51)68.81% (0.50700000000001 0.51)
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.55% (-0.95899999999999 -0.96)20.45% (0.958 0.96)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.09% (-1.543 -1.54)52.91% (1.543 1.54)
Score Analysis
    Frosinone 27.11%
    Fiorentina 47.93%
    Draw 24.95%
FrosinoneDrawFiorentina
1-0 @ 7.47% (0.361 0.36)
2-1 @ 6.69% (0.05 0.05)
2-0 @ 4.22% (0.155 0.16)
3-1 @ 2.52% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2% (-0.07 -0.07)
3-0 @ 1.59% (0.039 0.04)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 27.11%
1-1 @ 11.84% (0.23 0.23)
0-0 @ 6.61% (0.397 0.4)
2-2 @ 5.31% (-0.119 -0.12)
3-3 @ 1.06% (-0.07 -0.07)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.95%
0-1 @ 10.48% (0.33 0.33)
1-2 @ 9.4% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)
0-2 @ 8.32% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
1-3 @ 4.97% (-0.201 -0.2)
0-3 @ 4.4% (-0.122 -0.12)
2-3 @ 2.81% (-0.149 -0.15)
1-4 @ 1.97% (-0.142 -0.14)
0-4 @ 1.75% (-0.103 -0.1)
2-4 @ 1.12% (-0.095 -0.1)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 47.93%

How you voted: Frosinone vs Fiorentina

Frosinone
Draw
Fiorentina
Frosinone
23.5%
Draw
35.8%
Fiorentina
40.7%
81
Head to Head
Apr 7, 2019 11.30am
Gameweek 31
Fiorentina
0-1
Frosinone

Dabo (90')
Ciofani (84')
Beghetto (41'), Paganini (59'), Capuano (71'), Goldaniga (90')
Nov 9, 2018 7.30pm
Gameweek 12
Frosinone
1-1
Fiorentina
Pinamonti (89')
Zampano (26'), Ariaudo (48'), Maiello (68')
Benassi (47')
Mar 20, 2016 2pm
Frosinone
0-0
Fiorentina
Ajeti (25'), Gori (35'), Kragl (82'), Sammarco (88')
Alonso (31'), Roncaglia (36'), Astori (49'), Kalinic (81')
Nov 1, 2015 11.30am
Fiorentina
4-1
Frosinone
Rebic (24'), Rodriguez (29'), Babacar (31' pen.), Suarez (43')
Frara (87')
Paganini (28')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli36239457273078
2Inter Milan36238575334277
3Atalanta BCAtalanta36218773324171
4Juventus361616453332064
5Lazio361810859461364
6Roma36189951341763
7Bologna361614654411362
8AC Milan361791058401860
9Fiorentina361781154371759
10Como36139144849-148
11Torino361014123942-344
12Udinese36128163951-1244
13Genoa36913143245-1340
14CagliariCagliari3689193754-1733
15Hellas VeronaHellas Verona3696213164-3333
16Parma36614164156-1532
17VeneziaVenezia36514173050-2029
18Empoli36513182956-2728
19Lecce36610202558-3328
RMonza3639242764-3718


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