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Serie A | Gameweek 6
Sep 28, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Stadio Benito Stirpe
Fiorentina logo

Frosinone
1 - 1
Fiorentina

Soule (70')
Mazzitelli (51'), Okoli (64'), Oyono (87')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Gonzalez (19')
Milenkovic (22'), Parisi (69'), Mandragora (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Serie A clash between Frosinone and Fiorentina, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Salernitana 1-1 Frosinone
Friday, September 22 at 5.30pm in Serie A

We said: Frosinone 2-2 Fiorentina

Frosinone have averaged over two goals per game on home turf this term, so should be expected to score at least once against a hit-and-miss Fiorentina side being tested by an intense schedule. Amid a run of six games in 17 days, the Viola may slip up at Stadio Stirpe, where their hosts have proved impressive so far. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 47.94%. A win for Frosinone had a probability of 27.11% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.4%) and 0-2 (8.32%). The likeliest Frosinone win was 1-0 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
FrosinoneDrawFiorentina
27.11% (0.441 0.44) 24.96% (0.426 0.43) 47.94% (-0.867 -0.87)
Both teams to score 53.85% (-1.008 -1.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.05% (-1.497 -1.5)48.95% (1.496 1.5)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.96% (-1.368 -1.37)71.04% (1.369 1.37)
Frosinone Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.69% (-0.447 -0.45)32.31% (0.446 0.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.19% (-0.508 -0.51)68.81% (0.50700000000001 0.51)
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.55% (-0.95899999999999 -0.96)20.45% (0.958 0.96)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.09% (-1.543 -1.54)52.91% (1.543 1.54)
Score Analysis
    Frosinone 27.11%
    Fiorentina 47.93%
    Draw 24.95%
FrosinoneDrawFiorentina
1-0 @ 7.47% (0.361 0.36)
2-1 @ 6.69% (0.05 0.05)
2-0 @ 4.22% (0.155 0.16)
3-1 @ 2.52% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2% (-0.07 -0.07)
3-0 @ 1.59% (0.039 0.04)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 27.11%
1-1 @ 11.84% (0.23 0.23)
0-0 @ 6.61% (0.397 0.4)
2-2 @ 5.31% (-0.119 -0.12)
3-3 @ 1.06% (-0.07 -0.07)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.95%
0-1 @ 10.48% (0.33 0.33)
1-2 @ 9.4% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)
0-2 @ 8.32% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
1-3 @ 4.97% (-0.201 -0.2)
0-3 @ 4.4% (-0.122 -0.12)
2-3 @ 2.81% (-0.149 -0.15)
1-4 @ 1.97% (-0.142 -0.14)
0-4 @ 1.75% (-0.103 -0.1)
2-4 @ 1.12% (-0.095 -0.1)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 47.93%

How you voted: Frosinone vs Fiorentina

Frosinone
23.5%
Draw
35.8%
Fiorentina
40.7%
81
Head to Head
Apr 7, 2019 11.30am
Gameweek 31
Fiorentina
0-1
Frosinone

Dabo (90')
Ciofani (84')
Beghetto (41'), Paganini (59'), Capuano (71'), Goldaniga (90')
Nov 9, 2018 7.30pm
Gameweek 12
Frosinone
1-1
Fiorentina
Pinamonti (89')
Zampano (26'), Ariaudo (48'), Maiello (68')
Benassi (47')
Mar 20, 2016 2pm
Frosinone
0-0
Fiorentina
Ajeti (25'), Gori (35'), Kragl (82'), Sammarco (88')
Alonso (31'), Roncaglia (36'), Astori (49'), Kalinic (81')
Nov 1, 2015 11.30am
Fiorentina
4-1
Frosinone
Rebic (24'), Rodriguez (29'), Babacar (31' pen.), Suarez (43')
Frara (87')
Paganini (28')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter Milan28187363273661
2Napoli28186445232260
3Atalanta BCAtalanta28177463263758
4Juventus281313245252052
5Lazio28156750361451
6Bologna281311444341050
7Roma28137843301346
8Fiorentina28136943301345
9AC Milan28128842321044
10Udinese28117103538-340
11Torino2881193334-135
12Genoa28711102636-1032
13Como2878133444-1029
14CagliariCagliari2868142843-1526
15Hellas VeronaHellas Verona2882182858-3026
16Lecce2867152046-2625
17Parma2859143448-1424
18Empoli28410142345-2222
19VeneziaVenezia28310152342-1919
20Monza2828182348-2514


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