Serie A | Gameweek 8
Oct 8, 2023 at 5pm UK
Sardegna Arena
Cagliari1 - 4Roma
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Fiorentina 3-0 Cagliari
Monday, October 2 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Monday, October 2 at 7.45pm in Serie A
We said: Cagliari 0-2 Roma
Cagliari's wait for a win will go on, as even a Roma side that struggles to produce results on the road should have too much firepower for the Isolani to contain. Further relieving the pressure on Jose Mourinho, the visitors may be injury-hit but are rich in attacking talent and can rack up three straight victories in all competitions. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 42.96%. A win for Cagliari had a probability of 29.09% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.45%) and 0-2 (8.34%). The likeliest Cagliari win was 1-0 (10.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cagliari | Draw | Roma |
29.09% ( 0.83) | 27.95% ( -0.05) | 42.96% ( -0.79) |
| Both teams to score 46.24% ( 0.56) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.6% ( 0.5) | 59.39% ( -0.5) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.22% ( 0.38) | 79.77% ( -0.39) |
| Cagliari Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.68% ( 0.93) | 36.32% ( -0.94) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 26.89% ( 0.93) | 73.1% ( -0.94) |
| Roma Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.61% ( -0.19) | 27.39% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 37.14% ( -0.24) | 62.86% ( 0.23) |
| Score Analysis |
Cagliari 29.08%
Roma 42.96%
Draw 27.94%
| Cagliari | Draw | Roma |
| 1-0 @ 10.07% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 6.61% ( 0.18)2-0 @ 5.1% ( 0.16)3-1 @ 2.23% ( 0.11)3-0 @ 1.72% ( 0.1)3-2 @ 1.44% ( 0.07)Other @ 1.91% Total : 29.08% | 1-1 @ 13.04% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 9.95% ( -0.18)2-2 @ 4.28% ( 0.09)Other @ 0.68% Total : 27.94% | 0-1 @ 12.88% ( -0.31) 1-2 @ 8.45% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 8.34% ( -0.25)1-3 @ 3.65% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 3.6% ( -0.13)2-3 @ 1.85% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 1.18% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 1.17% ( -0.05)Other @ 1.85% Total : 42.96% |
How you voted: Cagliari vs Roma
Cagliari
11.4%Draw
11.4%Roma
77.3%44
Head to Head
Jan 16, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 22
Roma
1-0
Cagliari
Oct 27, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 10
Cagliari
1-2
Roma
Apr 25, 2021 5pm
Gameweek 33
Cagliari
3-2
Roma
Mar 1, 2020 5pm
Gameweek 26
Cagliari
3-4
Roma
