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Serie A | Gameweek 8
Oct 8, 2023 at 5pm UK
Sardegna Arena
Roma logo

Cagliari
1 - 4
Roma

Nandez (87' pen.)
Sulemana (14'), Mourinho (44+44'), Obert (61')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Aouar (19'), Lukaku (20', 59'), Belotti (51')
Paredes (11'), Aouar (32'), Mourinho (44'), Bove (45+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Cagliari and Roma, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Fiorentina 3-0 Cagliari
Monday, October 2 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Roma 4-0 Servette
Thursday, October 5 at 8pm in Europa League

We said: Cagliari 0-2 Roma

Cagliari's wait for a win will go on, as even a Roma side that struggles to produce results on the road should have too much firepower for the Isolani to contain. Further relieving the pressure on Jose Mourinho, the visitors may be injury-hit but are rich in attacking talent and can rack up three straight victories in all competitions. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 42.96%. A win for Cagliari had a probability of 29.09% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.45%) and 0-2 (8.34%). The likeliest Cagliari win was 1-0 (10.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.

Result
CagliariDrawRoma
29.09% (0.833 0.83) 27.95% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05) 42.96% (-0.79 -0.79)
Both teams to score 46.24% (0.563 0.56)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.6% (0.498 0.5)59.39% (-0.503 -0.5)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.22% (0.38 0.38)79.77% (-0.38600000000001 -0.39)
Cagliari Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.68% (0.934 0.93)36.32% (-0.94 -0.94)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.89% (0.935 0.93)73.1% (-0.94199999999999 -0.94)
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.61% (-0.187 -0.19)27.39% (0.18 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.14% (-0.241 -0.24)62.86% (0.233 0.23)
Score Analysis
    Cagliari 29.08%
    Roma 42.96%
    Draw 27.94%
CagliariDrawRoma
1-0 @ 10.07% (0.07 0.07)
2-1 @ 6.61% (0.176 0.18)
2-0 @ 5.1% (0.161 0.16)
3-1 @ 2.23% (0.114 0.11)
3-0 @ 1.72% (0.097 0.1)
3-2 @ 1.44% (0.066 0.07)
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 29.08%
1-1 @ 13.04% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 9.95% (-0.183 -0.18)
2-2 @ 4.28% (0.092 0.09)
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 27.94%
0-1 @ 12.88% (-0.31 -0.31)
1-2 @ 8.45% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
0-2 @ 8.34% (-0.247 -0.25)
1-3 @ 3.65% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-3 @ 3.6% (-0.125 -0.13)
2-3 @ 1.85% (0.031 0.03)
1-4 @ 1.18% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.17% (-0.047 -0.05)
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 42.96%

How you voted: Cagliari vs Roma

Cagliari
11.4%
Draw
11.4%
Roma
77.3%
44
Head to Head
Jan 16, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 22
Roma
1-0
Cagliari
Oliveras (33' pen.)
Oliveras (23'), Mancini (39'), Afena-Gyan (58')

Pavoletti (25'), Carboni (27'), Henrique (32'), Altare (70')
Oct 27, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 10
Cagliari
1-2
Roma
Pavoletti (52')
Pedro (73'), Lykogiannis (77'), Bellanova (87')
Ibanez (71'), Pellegrini (78')
Zaniolo (38'), Pellegrini (79'), Abraham (80'), Calafiori (83')
Apr 25, 2021 5pm
Gameweek 33
Cagliari
3-2
Roma
Lykogiannis (4'), Marin (57'), Pedro (64')
Marin (53'), Pedro (80'), Duncan (90+3')
Perez (27'), Fazio (69')
Cristante (83')
Dec 23, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 14
Roma
3-2
Cagliari
Veretout (11'), Dzeko (71'), Mancini (77')
Cristante (19'), Mancini (37'), Kumbulla (60')
Pedro (59', 90+1')
Zappa (20'), Nandez (29')
Mar 1, 2020 5pm
Gameweek 26
Cagliari
3-4
Roma
Pedro (28', 89'), Pereiro (75')
Pedro (35'), Simeone (69'), Pellegrini (80'), Ragatzu (90')
Kalinic (29', 41'), Kluivert (64'), Mkhitaryan (81')
Under (34'), Villar (55'), Kluivert (78'), Santon (90'), Lopez (90')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli128221991026
2Atalanta BCAtalanta1281331151625
3Fiorentina1274125101525
4Inter Milan1274126141225
5Lazio1281325141125
6Juventus126602171424
7AC Milan115332014618
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino124261518-314
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma122641618-212
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona124081727-1012
15Como122461323-1010
16CagliariCagliari122461222-1010
17Genoa12246922-1310
18Lecce12237521-169
19Monza121561015-58
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108


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