Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cagliari win with a probability of 48.73%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 25.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cagliari win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.28%) and 1-2 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.35%), while for a Salernitana win it was 1-0 (8.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Salernitana | Draw | Cagliari |
25.16% ( -0.11) | 26.11% ( -0.14) | 48.73% ( 0.24) |
Both teams to score 48.7% ( 0.3) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.11% ( 0.43) | 54.89% ( -0.44) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.82% ( 0.36) | 76.18% ( -0.36) |
Salernitana Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.88% ( 0.15) | 37.12% ( -0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.09% ( 0.14) | 73.91% ( -0.15) |
Cagliari Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.45% ( 0.29) | 22.55% ( -0.29) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.86% ( 0.43) | 56.14% ( -0.44) |
Score Analysis |
Salernitana | Draw | Cagliari |
1-0 @ 8.3% ( -0.11) 2-1 @ 6.12% ( -0) 2-0 @ 4.11% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 2.02% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.51% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 1.36% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.74% Total : 25.16% | 1-1 @ 12.35% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 8.37% ( -0.14) 2-2 @ 4.56% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.82% Total : 26.1% | 0-1 @ 12.46% ( -0.11) 0-2 @ 9.28% ( 0) 1-2 @ 9.2% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 4.61% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 4.57% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 2.26% ( 0.04) 0-4 @ 1.72% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 1.7% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.92% Total : 48.73% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 16 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 39 | 17 | 22 | 37 |
2 | Napoli | 16 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 35 |
3 | Inter Milan | 15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 40 | 15 | 25 | 34 |
4 | Fiorentina | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 28 | 11 | 17 | 31 |
5 | Lazio | 16 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 30 | 23 | 7 | 31 |
6 | Juventus | 16 | 6 | 10 | 0 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 28 |
7 | Bologna | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 25 |
8 | AC Milan | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 23 |
9 | Udinese | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 20 |
10 | Empoli | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 19 |
11 | Torino | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 19 |
12 | Roma | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 16 |
13 | Genoa | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 16 |
14 | Lecce | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 27 | -17 | 16 |
15 | Parma | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 15 |
16 | Como | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 15 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 16 | 5 | 0 | 11 | 21 | 39 | -18 | 15 |
18 | CagliariCagliari | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 14 |
19 | Monza | 16 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 10 |
20 | VeneziaVenezia | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 10 |
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