Serie A | Gameweek 7
Oct 2, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Artemio Franchi
Fiorentina3 - 0Cagliari
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Frosinone 1-1 Fiorentina
Thursday, September 28 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Thursday, September 28 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Cagliari 1-3 AC Milan
Wednesday, September 27 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Wednesday, September 27 at 5.30pm in Serie A
We said: Fiorentina 2-0 Cagliari
Fiorentina have an impressive record against Cagliari, and a routine victory is likely against the struggling new boys. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 56.5%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Cagliari had a probability of 19.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.55%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.22%), while for a Cagliari win it was 0-1 (6.48%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fiorentina | Draw | Cagliari |
56.5% ( 0.77) | 23.62% ( 0.03) | 19.87% ( -0.8) |
| Both teams to score 49.61% ( -1.29) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.56% ( -1.11) | 50.44% ( 1.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.63% ( -0.99) | 72.37% ( 0.99) |
| Fiorentina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.34% ( -0.13) | 17.66% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 51.72% ( -0.22) | 48.28% ( 0.22) |
| Cagliari Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.25% ( -1.48) | 39.75% ( 1.48) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 23.58% ( -1.39) | 76.42% ( 1.39) |
| Score Analysis |
Fiorentina 56.5%
Cagliari 19.87%
Draw 23.61%
| Fiorentina | Draw | Cagliari |
| 1-0 @ 12.17% ( 0.49) 2-0 @ 10.55% ( 0.38)2-1 @ 9.74% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 6.1% ( 0.2)3-1 @ 5.63% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 2.64% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 2.6% ( -0.13)4-1 @ 2.44% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.13% ( -0.06)5-0 @ 0.92% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.6% Total : 56.5% | 1-1 @ 11.22% 0-0 @ 7.02% ( 0.31)2-2 @ 4.49% ( -0.2)Other @ 0.88% Total : 23.61% | 0-1 @ 6.48% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 5.18% ( -0.21)0-2 @ 2.99% ( -0.11)1-3 @ 1.59% ( -0.13)2-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.12)0-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.07)Other @ 1.33% Total : 19.87% |
How you voted: Fiorentina vs Cagliari
Fiorentina
89.0%Draw
6.6%Cagliari
4.4%91
Form Guide
