Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 49.86%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Frosinone had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.52%) and 2-1 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.23%), while for a Frosinone win it was 0-1 (8.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.
Result | ||
Roma | Draw | Frosinone |
49.86% ( 0.47) | 25.84% ( -0.13) | 24.3% ( -0.34) |
Both teams to score 48.65% ( 0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.46% ( 0.22) | 54.54% ( -0.22) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.11% ( 0.18) | 75.89% ( -0.18) |
Roma Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.09% ( 0.3) | 21.91% ( -0.3) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.82% ( 0.45) | 55.17% ( -0.45) |
Frosinone Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.3% ( -0.18) | 37.69% ( 0.19) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.53% ( -0.18) | 74.47% ( 0.19) |
Score Analysis |
Roma | Draw | Frosinone |
1-0 @ 12.53% 2-0 @ 9.52% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 9.29% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 4.82% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 4.7% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 2.29% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.83% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 1.78% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.09% Total : 49.85% | 1-1 @ 12.23% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 8.26% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 4.53% ( -0) Other @ 0.82% Total : 25.84% | 0-1 @ 8.06% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 5.97% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 3.93% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 1.94% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.47% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.28% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.65% Total : 24.3% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 20 | 15 | 2 | 3 | 32 | 12 | 20 | 47 |
2 | Inter Milan | 19 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 48 | 17 | 31 | 44 |
3 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 20 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 44 | 21 | 23 | 43 |
4 | Lazio | 20 | 11 | 3 | 6 | 34 | 28 | 6 | 36 |
5 | Juventus | 20 | 7 | 13 | 0 | 32 | 17 | 15 | 34 |
6 | Fiorentina | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 32 | 20 | 12 | 32 |
7 | AC Milan | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 31 |
8 | Bologna | 19 | 7 | 9 | 3 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 30 |
9 | Udinese | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 26 |
10 | Roma | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 24 |
11 | Genoa | 20 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 17 | 27 | -10 | 23 |
12 | Torino | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 25 | -5 | 22 |
13 | Empoli | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 20 |
14 | Lecce | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 14 | 32 | -18 | 20 |
15 | Parma | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 25 | 35 | -10 | 19 |
16 | Como | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 33 | -11 | 19 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 20 | 6 | 1 | 13 | 24 | 44 | -20 | 19 |
18 | CagliariCagliari | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 33 | -14 | 18 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 20 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
20 | Monza | 20 | 2 | 7 | 11 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 13 |
> Serie A Full Table |