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Serie A | Gameweek 6
Sep 27, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Sardegna Arena
Milan logo

Cagliari
1 - 3
AC Milan

Luvumbo (29')
Wieteska (42'), Zappa (53'), Oristanio (78')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Okafor (40'), Tomori (45'), Loftus-Cheek (60')
Loftus-Cheek (48')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Serie A clash between Cagliari and AC Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Atalanta 2-0 Cagliari
Sunday, September 24 at 2pm in Serie A

We said: Cagliari 0-3 AC Milan

Given that Cagliari have scored just one goal across five games without tasting victory this season, we expect AC Milan to cruise to a comfortable victory at the Unipol Domus on Wednesday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 36.44%. A win for Cagliari had a probability of 36.24% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.95%) and 0-2 (6.49%). The likeliest Cagliari win was 1-0 (10.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.

Result
CagliariDrawAC Milan
36.24%27.31%36.44% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Both teams to score 49.93% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.4% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)55.59% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.24% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)76.76% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Cagliari Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.6% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)29.39% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.61% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)65.38% (0.0030000000000001 0)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.72% (-0.0039999999999907 -0)29.27% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.76% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)65.23% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Score Analysis
    Cagliari 36.24%
    AC Milan 36.44%
    Draw 27.31%
CagliariDrawAC Milan
1-0 @ 10.53%
2-1 @ 7.92%
2-0 @ 6.45%
3-1 @ 3.23%
3-0 @ 2.63%
3-2 @ 1.99% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 0.99%
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 36.24%
1-1 @ 12.94%
0-0 @ 8.6% (0.0019999999999989 0)
2-2 @ 4.87% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 27.31%
0-1 @ 10.57% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.95% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 6.49%
1-3 @ 3.26%
0-3 @ 2.66%
2-3 @ 1.99% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 1%
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 36.44%

How you voted: Cagliari vs AC Milan

Cagliari
5.5%
Draw
9.9%
AC Milan
84.6%
91
Head to Head
Mar 19, 2022 7.45pm
Aug 29, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 2
AC Milan
4-1
Cagliari
Tonali (12'), Leao (17'), Giroud (24', 43' pen.)
Diaz (73')
Deiola (15')
Henrique (5'), Deiola (38'), Strootman (41'), Godin (62'), Nandez (84')
May 16, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 37
AC Milan
0-0
Cagliari
Kjaer (33'), Calabria (58')
Marin (40'), Carboni (45+1')
Jan 18, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 18
Cagliari
0-2
AC Milan

Godin (83'), Ceppitelli (88')
Ibrahimovic (7' pen., 52')
Romagnoli (39'), Saelemaekers (68')
Saelemaekers (74')
Aug 1, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 38
AC Milan
3-0
Cagliari
Klavan (11' og.), Ibrahimovic (55'), Castillejo (57')
Saelemaekers (67')

Pereiro (13'), Farago (45'), Cragno (58')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli17122326121438
2Atalanta BCAtalanta16121339172237
3Inter Milan15104140152534
4Lazio1711153224834
5Fiorentina1594228111731
6Juventus16610026121428
7Bologna167722318528
8AC Milan167542516926
9Udinese166281925-620
10Empoli164751416-219
11Torino175481722-519
12Roma164481823-516
13Genoa173771426-1216
14Lecce174491129-1816
15Parma163672328-515
16Como163671828-1015
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1750122140-1915
18CagliariCagliari163581526-1114
19Monza161781421-710
20VeneziaVenezia1624101529-1410


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