Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 36.44%. A win for Cagliari had a probability of 36.24% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.95%) and 0-2 (6.49%). The likeliest Cagliari win was 1-0 (10.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.
Result | ||
Cagliari | Draw | AC Milan |
36.24% | 27.31% | 36.44% ( -0) |
Both teams to score 49.93% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.4% ( -0) | 55.59% ( 0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.24% ( -0) | 76.76% ( 0) |
Cagliari Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.6% ( -0) | 29.39% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.61% ( -0) | 65.38% ( 0) |
AC Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.72% ( -0) | 29.27% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.76% ( -0.01) | 65.23% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Cagliari | Draw | AC Milan |
1-0 @ 10.53% 2-1 @ 7.92% 2-0 @ 6.45% 3-1 @ 3.23% 3-0 @ 2.63% 3-2 @ 1.99% ( -0) 4-1 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.49% Total : 36.24% | 1-1 @ 12.94% 0-0 @ 8.6% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.87% ( -0) Other @ 0.9% Total : 27.31% | 0-1 @ 10.57% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.95% ( -0) 0-2 @ 6.49% 1-3 @ 3.26% 0-3 @ 2.66% 2-3 @ 1.99% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1% Other @ 2.52% Total : 36.44% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Germany | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | Switzerland | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | Hungary | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | Scotland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Austria | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | France | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | Netherlands | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | Poland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |