Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 50.53%. A win for Empoli had a probability of 26.98% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.64%) and 0-2 (7.19%). The likeliest Empoli win was 2-1 (6.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.
