Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 14

Nov 27, 2021 at 2pm UK

Stadio Carlo Castellani

Empoli
2 - 1
Fiorentina

Bandinelli (87'), Pinamonti (89')
Tonelli (65')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Vlahovic (57')
Torreira (51')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Empoli and Fiorentina, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Empoli 1-2 Fiorentina

Though following up the emotional high of bettering Milan at the Franchi is a tough task for Fiorentina, they have discovered an attacking confidence this season which will help them seal back-to-back victories just down the road in Empoli. Vlahovic and his supporting cast can prise apart the hosts' defence on more than one occasion, prolonging their lacklustre record at the Castellani. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Empoli win with a probability of 47.03%. A win for Fiorentina had a probability of 28.54% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Empoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.38%) and 2-0 (7.7%). The likeliest Fiorentina win was 0-1 (7.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Empoli would win this match.

Result
Empoli	Draw	Fiorentina
47.03%	24.43%	28.54%

Both teams to score 56.66%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.24%

45.75%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.93%

68.07%

Empoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.44%

19.55%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.53%

51.46%

Fiorentina Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.43%

29.57%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.4%

65.6%

Score Analysis

Empoli 47.03%

Fiorentina 28.54%

Draw 24.42%

Empoli	Draw	Fiorentina
1-0 @ 9.44% 2-1 @ 9.38% 2-0 @ 7.7% 3-1 @ 5.1% 3-0 @ 4.19% 3-2 @ 3.11% 4-1 @ 2.08% 4-0 @ 1.71% 4-2 @ 1.27% Other @ 3.05% Total : 47.03%	1-1 @ 11.49% 0-0 @ 5.78% 2-2 @ 5.72% 3-3 @ 1.26% Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.42%	0-1 @ 7.05% 1-2 @ 7% 0-2 @ 4.29% 1-3 @ 2.85% 2-3 @ 2.32% 0-3 @ 1.74% Other @ 3.29% Total : 28.54%