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Serie A
Empoli logo
Serie A | Gameweek 19
Jan 7, 2024 at 11.30am UK
Stadio Carlo Castellani
Milan logo

Empoli
0 - 3
AC Milan


Marin (81')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Loftus-Cheek (11'), Giroud (31' pen.), Traore (88')
Calabria (41'), Jimenez (54')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Empoli and AC Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Empoli

All competitions
Last Game: Cagliari 0-0 Empoli
Saturday, December 30 at 2pm in Serie A

AC Milan

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: AC Milan 4-1 Cagliari
Tuesday, January 2 at 8pm in Coppa Italia

We said: Empoli 0-2 AC Milan

 Everything points to a Milan win at the Castellani, where they have never been beaten in Serie A. With Empoli consistently coming up short in the final third, the Rossoneri should stride to victory and keep within striking distance of both Inter and Juve. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 51.84%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Empoli had a probability of 23.83%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.64%) and 0-2 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.56%), while for a Empoli win it was 1-0 (6.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.

Result
EmpoliDrawAC Milan
23.83% (0.099 0.1) 24.33% (0.369 0.37) 51.84% (-0.476 -0.48)
Both teams to score 52.68% (-1.061 -1.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.01% (-1.456 -1.46)48.98% (1.448 1.45)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.92% (-1.334 -1.33)71.07% (1.326 1.33)
Empoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.94% (-0.71299999999999 -0.71)35.06% (0.706 0.71)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.19% (-0.753 -0.75)71.8% (0.745 0.75)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.12% (-0.74000000000001 -0.74)18.88% (0.733 0.73)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.65% (-1.243 -1.24)50.35% (1.235 1.24)
Score Analysis
    Empoli 23.83%
    AC Milan 51.84%
    Draw 24.33%
EmpoliDrawAC Milan
1-0 @ 6.94% (0.276 0.28)
2-1 @ 6.06% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-0 @ 3.64% (0.077 0.08)
3-1 @ 2.12% (-0.045 -0.04)
3-2 @ 1.77% (-0.081 -0.08)
3-0 @ 1.27% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 23.83%
1-1 @ 11.56% (0.2 0.2)
0-0 @ 6.62% (0.385 0.39)
2-2 @ 5.05% (-0.13 -0.13)
3-3 @ 0.98% (-0.069 -0.07)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.33%
0-1 @ 11.03% (0.4 0.4)
1-2 @ 9.64% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-2 @ 9.2% (0.119 0.12)
1-3 @ 5.36% (-0.162 -0.16)
0-3 @ 5.11% (-0.054 -0.05)
2-3 @ 2.81% (-0.141 -0.14)
1-4 @ 2.23% (-0.122 -0.12)
0-4 @ 2.13% (-0.073 -0.07)
2-4 @ 1.17% (-0.088 -0.09)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 51.84%

How you voted: Empoli vs AC Milan

Empoli
4.9%
Draw
8.6%
AC Milan
86.4%
81
Head to Head
Apr 7, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 29
AC Milan
0-0
Empoli
> Preview
Oct 1, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 8
Empoli
1-3
AC Milan
Bajrami (90+1')
Rebic (79'), Ballo-Toure (90+3'), Leao (90+6')
> Preview
Mar 12, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 29
AC Milan
1-0
Empoli
Kalulu (19')
Tonali (90+4')
> Preview
Dec 22, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 19
Empoli
2-4
AC Milan
Bajrami (18'), Pinamonti (84' pen.)
Romagnoli (62')
Kessie (12', 42'), Florenzi (63'), Hernandez (69')
Tonali (39'), Bennacer (80')
> Preview
Feb 22, 2019 7.30pm
Gameweek 25
AC Milan
3-0
Empoli
Piatek (49'), Kessie (51'), Castillejo (67')
Calhanoglu (71')

Di Lorenzo (55')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta17131342192340
2Napoli17122326121438
3Inter Milan16114142152737
4Lazio1711153224834
5Fiorentina1694329131631
6Juventus17710028131531
7Bologna167722318528
8AC Milan167542516926
9Udinese177282126-523
10Roma175482323019
11Empoli174761619-319
12Torino175481722-519
13Genoa173771426-1216
14Lecce174491129-1816
15Parma173682333-1015
16Como173681830-1215
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1750122140-1915
18CagliariCagliari173591628-1214
19VeneziaVenezia1734101730-1313
20Monza171791523-810
> Serie A Full Table


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