Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torino win with a probability of 52.17%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 22.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Torino win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.01%) and 2-1 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.97%), while for a Spezia win it was 0-1 (7.6%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.