Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 48.22%. A win for Genoa had a probability of 26.07% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.29%) and 0-2 (8.88%). The likeliest Genoa win was 1-0 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Genoa | Draw | Fiorentina |
26.07% | 25.71% | 48.22% |
Both teams to score 50.67% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.3% | 52.7% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.66% | 74.34% |
Genoa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.85% | 35.14% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.1% | 71.9% |
Fiorentina Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.13% | 21.87% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.89% | 55.11% |
Score Analysis |
Genoa | Draw | Fiorentina |
1-0 @ 8.04% 2-1 @ 6.39% 2-0 @ 4.2% 3-1 @ 2.23% 3-2 @ 1.69% 3-0 @ 1.47% Other @ 2.06% Total : 26.07% | 1-1 @ 12.21% 0-0 @ 7.69% 2-2 @ 4.86% Other @ 0.95% Total : 25.7% | 0-1 @ 11.68% 1-2 @ 9.29% 0-2 @ 8.88% 1-3 @ 4.71% 0-3 @ 4.5% 2-3 @ 2.46% 1-4 @ 1.79% 0-4 @ 1.71% 2-4 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.27% Total : 48.22% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 38 |
2 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 16 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 39 | 17 | 22 | 37 |
3 | Inter Milan | 15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 40 | 15 | 25 | 34 |
4 | Lazio | 17 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 32 | 24 | 8 | 34 |
5 | Fiorentina | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 28 | 11 | 17 | 31 |
6 | Juventus | 16 | 6 | 10 | 0 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 28 |
7 | Bologna | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 23 | 18 | 5 | 28 |
8 | AC Milan | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 16 | 9 | 26 |
9 | Udinese | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 20 |
10 | Empoli | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 19 |
11 | Torino | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 19 |
12 | Roma | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 16 |
13 | Genoa | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
14 | Lecce | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 29 | -18 | 16 |
15 | Parma | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 15 |
16 | Como | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 15 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 17 | 5 | 0 | 12 | 21 | 40 | -19 | 15 |
18 | CagliariCagliari | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 14 |
19 | Monza | 16 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 10 |
20 | VeneziaVenezia | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 10 |
> Serie A Full Table |