We said: Genoa 1-3 Inter Milan
Genoa have certainly tightened up at the back since their latest switch of management, but have yet to be faced with the sort of firepower even an off-form Inter will bring to Marassi.
With key men back from suspension and a midweek clear of European commitments, the champions are poised to wreak revenge for their loss last time out and put an end to the hosts' brief unbeaten streak.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 68.32%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Genoa had a probability of 12.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.56%) and 1-2 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.08%), while for a Genoa win it was 1-0 (4.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
