Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monza win with a probability of 54.66%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Empoli had a probability of 21.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monza win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.93%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.34%), while for a Empoli win it was 0-1 (6.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Monza would win this match.
Result | ||
Monza | Draw | Empoli |
54.66% (![]() | 23.85% (![]() | 21.48% (![]() |
Both teams to score 51.27% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.58% (![]() | 49.41% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.54% (![]() | 71.45% (![]() |
Monza Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.03% (![]() | 17.96% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.2% (![]() | 48.8% (![]() |
Empoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.5% (![]() | 37.5% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.72% (![]() | 74.28% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Monza | Draw | Empoli |
1-0 @ 11.56% 2-0 @ 9.93% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 9.74% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 5.68% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 5.57% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.73% 4-0 @ 2.44% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.39% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.17% ( ![]() Other @ 3.44% Total : 54.66% | 1-1 @ 11.34% (![]() 0-0 @ 6.73% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.78% ( ![]() Other @ 0.99% Total : 23.84% | 0-1 @ 6.61% (![]() 1-2 @ 5.56% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 3.24% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.82% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.56% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.06% ( ![]() Other @ 1.63% Total : 21.48% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |