Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 56.09%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Monza had a probability of 20.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.3%) and 1-2 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.2%), while for a Monza win it was 1-0 (6.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Monza | Draw | Napoli |
20.35% ( -0.07) | 23.56% ( -0.08) | 56.09% ( 0.15) |
Both teams to score 50.52% ( 0.12) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.41% ( 0.22) | 49.59% ( -0.22) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.38% ( 0.19) | 71.61% ( -0.19) |
Monza Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.24% ( 0.05) | 38.75% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.51% ( 0.04) | 75.49% ( -0.04) |
Napoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.5% ( 0.14) | 17.5% ( -0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.99% ( 0.23) | 48% ( -0.23) |
Score Analysis |
Monza | Draw | Napoli |
1-0 @ 6.43% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 5.31% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 3.05% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 1.68% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.46% ( 0) 3-0 @ 0.96% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.46% Total : 20.35% | 1-1 @ 11.2% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 6.78% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 4.63% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.94% Total : 23.55% | 0-1 @ 11.82% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 10.3% 1-2 @ 9.77% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 5.99% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 5.67% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.69% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 2.61% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 2.47% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.17% ( 0.01) 0-5 @ 0.91% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.69% Total : 56.09% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 38 |
2 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 16 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 39 | 17 | 22 | 37 |
3 | Inter Milan | 15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 40 | 15 | 25 | 34 |
4 | Lazio | 17 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 32 | 24 | 8 | 34 |
5 | Fiorentina | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 28 | 11 | 17 | 31 |
6 | Juventus | 16 | 6 | 10 | 0 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 28 |
7 | Bologna | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 23 | 18 | 5 | 28 |
8 | AC Milan | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 16 | 9 | 26 |
9 | Udinese | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 20 |
10 | Roma | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 19 |
11 | Empoli | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 19 |
12 | Torino | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 19 |
13 | Genoa | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
14 | Lecce | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 29 | -18 | 16 |
15 | Parma | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 23 | 33 | -10 | 15 |
16 | Como | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 15 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 17 | 5 | 0 | 12 | 21 | 40 | -19 | 15 |
18 | CagliariCagliari | 17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 14 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 30 | -13 | 13 |
20 | Monza | 16 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 10 |
> Serie A Full Table |