Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 52%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Roma had a probability of 23.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.6%) and 2-0 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.68%), while for a Roma win it was 0-1 (7.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.
Result | ||
Napoli | Draw | Roma |
52% (![]() | 24.56% (![]() | 23.43% (![]() |
Both teams to score 51.52% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.7% (![]() | 50.3% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.75% (![]() | 72.25% (![]() |
Napoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.68% (![]() | 19.32% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.92% (![]() | 51.08% (![]() |
Roma Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.86% (![]() | 36.14% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.08% (![]() | 72.92% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Napoli | Draw | Roma |
1-0 @ 11.47% (![]() 2-1 @ 9.6% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 9.44% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 5.26% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 5.17% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.68% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.16% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.13% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.1% ( ![]() Other @ 2.98% Total : 52% | 1-1 @ 11.68% (![]() 0-0 @ 6.98% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.89% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 0.91% ( ![]() Other @ 0.1% Total : 24.56% | 0-1 @ 7.11% (![]() 1-2 @ 5.95% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 3.62% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.02% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.66% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.23% Other @ 1.86% Total : 23.43% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter Milan | 30 | 20 | 7 | 3 | 67 | 28 | 39 | 67 |
2 | Napoli | 30 | 19 | 7 | 4 | 47 | 24 | 23 | 64 |
3 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 30 | 17 | 7 | 6 | 63 | 29 | 34 | 58 |
4 | Bologna | 30 | 15 | 11 | 4 | 50 | 34 | 16 | 56 |
5 | Juventus | 30 | 14 | 13 | 3 | 46 | 28 | 18 | 55 |
6 | Roma | 30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 45 | 30 | 15 | 52 |
7 | Lazio | 30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 51 | 42 | 9 | 52 |
8 | Fiorentina | 30 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 47 | 30 | 17 | 51 |
9 | AC Milan | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 45 | 35 | 10 | 47 |
10 | Udinese | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 36 | 41 | -5 | 40 |
11 | Torino | 30 | 9 | 12 | 9 | 35 | 35 | 0 | 39 |
12 | Genoa | 30 | 8 | 11 | 11 | 28 | 38 | -10 | 35 |
13 | Como | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 36 | 47 | -11 | 30 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 30 | 9 | 3 | 18 | 29 | 58 | -29 | 30 |
15 | CagliariCagliari | 30 | 7 | 8 | 15 | 31 | 44 | -13 | 29 |
16 | Parma | 30 | 5 | 11 | 14 | 35 | 49 | -14 | 26 |
17 | Lecce | 30 | 6 | 7 | 17 | 21 | 49 | -28 | 25 |
18 | Empoli | 30 | 4 | 11 | 15 | 24 | 47 | -23 | 23 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 30 | 3 | 11 | 16 | 23 | 43 | -20 | 20 |
20 | Monza | 30 | 2 | 9 | 19 | 24 | 52 | -28 | 15 |
> Serie A Full Table |