Serie A | Gameweek 25
Mar 3, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio San Paolo, Napoli
Napoli0 - 1Lazio
The Match
Match Report
Lazio inflict a first home Serie A defeat of the season on runaway league leaders Napoli to move second in Serie A.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Friday's Serie A clash between Napoli and Lazio, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 55.32%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 22.63% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.75%) and 2-0 (8.46%). The likeliest Lazio win was 1-2 (5.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Napoli | Draw | Lazio |
55.32% ( 0.55) | 22.05% ( -0.18) | 22.63% ( -0.37) |
| Both teams to score 58.78% ( 0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.78% ( 0.4) | 40.21% ( -0.4) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.41% ( 0.41) | 62.58% ( -0.41) |
| Napoli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.53% ( 0.31) | 14.47% ( -0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 57.56% ( 0.6) | 42.43% ( -0.61) |
| Lazio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.72% ( -0.1) | 31.28% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 32.37% ( -0.12) | 67.63% ( 0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
Napoli 55.32%
Lazio 22.63%
Draw 22.04%
| Napoli | Draw | Lazio |
| 2-1 @ 9.83% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.75% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 8.46% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 6.33% ( 0.08)3-0 @ 5.45% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 3.68% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 3.06% ( 0.07)4-0 @ 2.63% ( 0.07)4-2 @ 1.78% ( 0.04)5-1 @ 1.18% ( 0.04)5-0 @ 1.02% ( 0.04)Other @ 3.15% Total : 55.32% | 1-1 @ 10.16% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 5.71% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4.53% ( -0.08)3-3 @ 1.43% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.22% Total : 22.04% | 1-2 @ 5.91% ( -0.07) 0-1 @ 5.26% ( -0.11)0-2 @ 3.06% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 2.29% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.21% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.72% Total : 22.63% |
How you voted: Napoli vs Lazio
Napoli
85.4%Draw
8.5%Lazio
6.1%246
Head to Head
Sep 3, 2022 7.45pm
Nov 28, 2021 7.45pm
Apr 22, 2021 7.45pm
Napoli
5-2
Lazio
Insigne (7' pen., 53'), Politano (12'), Mertens (65'), Osimhen (80')
Manolas (15'), Fabian (42'), Mertens (45+1'), Di Lorenzo (73')
Manolas (15'), Fabian (42'), Mertens (45+1'), Di Lorenzo (73')
Immobile (70'), Milinkovic-Savic (74')
Milinkovic-Savic (6'), Leiva (30'), Immobile (48'), Pereira (75')
Milinkovic-Savic (6'), Leiva (30'), Immobile (48'), Pereira (75')
