Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 11

Dec 13, 2020 at 2pm UK

Stadio San Paolo

Napoli
2 - 1
Sampdoria

Lozano (53'), Petagna (68')
Di Lorenzo (84'), Insigne (90+2'), Rui (90+2')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Jankto (20')
Thorsby (38'), Ekdal (52'), Colley (82'), Ramirez (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Napoli and Sampdoria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 65.5%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Sampdoria had a probability of 15.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.52%) and 1-0 (8.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.58%), while for a Sampdoria win it was 1-2 (4.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Napoli in this match.

Result
Napoli	Draw	Sampdoria
65.5%	18.79%	15.72%

Both teams to score 57.64%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.19%

35.81%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.11%

57.89%

Napoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.76%

10.24%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

66.43%

33.57%

Sampdoria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.21%

35.79%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.44%

72.56%

Score Analysis

Napoli 65.5%

Sampdoria 15.72%

Draw 18.79%

Napoli	Draw	Sampdoria
2-1 @ 9.78% 2-0 @ 9.52% 1-0 @ 8.35% 3-1 @ 7.43% 3-0 @ 7.23% 4-1 @ 4.23% 4-0 @ 4.12% 3-2 @ 3.82% 4-2 @ 2.18% 5-1 @ 1.93% 5-0 @ 1.88% 5-2 @ 0.99% Other @ 4.05% Total : 65.5%	1-1 @ 8.58% 2-2 @ 5.02% 0-0 @ 3.66% 3-3 @ 1.31% Other @ 0.21% Total : 18.79%	1-2 @ 4.41% 0-1 @ 3.77% 0-2 @ 1.93% 2-3 @ 1.72% 1-3 @ 1.51% Other @ 2.38% Total : 15.72%