Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cagliari win with a probability of 40.88%. A win for Sampdoria had a probability of 34.18% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cagliari win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.67%) and 2-0 (6.5%). The likeliest Sampdoria win was 1-2 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cagliari would win this match.
Result | ||
Cagliari | Draw | Sampdoria |
40.88% | 24.94% | 34.18% |
Both teams to score 57.56% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.26% | 45.74% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.94% | 68.06% |
Cagliari Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.69% | 22.32% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.22% | 55.78% |
Sampdoria Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.1% | 25.9% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.11% | 60.89% |
Score Analysis |
Cagliari | Draw | Sampdoria |
2-1 @ 8.78% 1-0 @ 8.67% 2-0 @ 6.5% 3-1 @ 4.39% 3-0 @ 3.25% 3-2 @ 2.97% 4-1 @ 1.65% 4-0 @ 1.22% 4-2 @ 1.11% Other @ 2.34% Total : 40.88% | 1-1 @ 11.71% 2-2 @ 5.93% 0-0 @ 5.78% 3-3 @ 1.34% Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.94% | 1-2 @ 7.91% 0-1 @ 7.81% 0-2 @ 5.27% 1-3 @ 3.56% 2-3 @ 2.67% 0-3 @ 2.38% 1-4 @ 1.2% 2-4 @ 0.9% Other @ 2.47% Total : 34.18% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 13 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 34 | 16 | 18 | 28 |
2 | Inter Milan | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 31 | 14 | 17 | 28 |
3 | Napoli | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 26 |
4 | Fiorentina | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 25 | 10 | 15 | 25 |
5 | Juventus | 13 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 21 | 7 | 14 | 25 |
6 | Lazio | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 25 | 14 | 11 | 25 |
7 | AC Milan | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 20 | 14 | 6 | 19 |
8 | Bologna | 11 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 18 |
9 | Udinese | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 16 |
10 | Empoli | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 15 |
11 | Torino | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 14 |
12 | Roma | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 13 |
13 | Parma | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 12 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 13 | 4 | 0 | 9 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 12 |
15 | CagliariCagliari | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 11 |
16 | Genoa | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 24 | -13 | 11 |
17 | Como | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 10 |
18 | Lecce | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 21 | -16 | 9 |
19 | Monza | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 8 |
20 | VeneziaVenezia | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 8 |
> Serie A Full Table |