Serie A | Gameweek 28
Mar 10, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Artemio Franchi
We said: Fiorentina 1-1 Roma
A repeat of the result in December's reverse fixture could be on the cards, as Fiorentina are far tougher to beat on home turf and Roma do not always produce their best outside the capital. The Giallorossi's rapid progress may therefore hit a minor bump in the road.
Read more.
Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 45.46% . A win for Roma had a probability of 28.46% and a draw had a probability of 26.1% .
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.25% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.08%) and 2-0 (8.24%) . The likeliest Roma win was 0-1 (8.47%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%) . The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood . Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result Fiorentina Draw Roma 45.46% ( 0.25) 26.07% ( 0.05) 28.46% ( -0.3)
Both teams to score 51.32% ( -0.34)
47.29% ( -0.35) 52.7% ( 0.35)
25.65% ( -0.31) 74.34% ( 0.3)
76.87% ( -0.04) 23.12% ( 0.04)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 43.01% ( -0.05) 56.98% ( 0.05)
66.76% ( -0.41) 33.23% ( 0.41)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 30.15% ( -0.46) 69.84% ( 0.45)
Fiorentina 45.46%
Roma 28.46%
Draw 26.07%
Fiorentina Draw Roma 1-0 @ 11.25% ( 0.15) 2-1 @ 9.08% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.24% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 4.43% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.02% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.44% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.62% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.47% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.9% Total : 45.46% 1-1 @ 12.39% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.68% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 5% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.07% 0-1 @ 8.47% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 6.83% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 4.66% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 2.51% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 1.84% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 1.71% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.45% Total : 28.46%
How you voted: Fiorentina vs Roma
157
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-06-25 12:17:37
Tuesday, June 25
Wednesday, June 26
Saturday, June 29
Sunday, June 30
Monday, July 1
Tuesday, July 2
Friday, July 5
Saturday, July 6
Tuesday, July 9
Wednesday, July 10
Sunday, July 14
Premier League La Liga Serie A Bundesliga Ligue 1 Primeira Liga Eredivisie Turkish Super Lig Champions League Europa League Europa Conference League Championship League One League Two FA Cup EFL Cup EFL Trophy National League National League Playoffs National League North National League South Women's FA Cup Women's Super League Premier League 2 - Div 1 Premier League 2 - Div 2 Scottish Premiership Scottish Cup Scottish League Cup Scottish Championship Scottish League One Scottish League Two NIFL Premiership Welsh Premier League League of Ireland Premier Copa del Rey Coppa Italia DFB-Pokal KNVB Beker Taca de Portugal Turkish Cup Women's Champions League Greek Superleague Belgian Pro League Swiss Super League Austrian Bundesliga Polish Ekstraklasa Ukrainian Premier League Russian Premier League Norwegian Eliteserien Swedish Allsvenskan Danish Superliga Finnish Veikkausliiga Hungarian NB I Croatian 1. HNL Romanian SuperLiga Czech Liga Slovenian PrvaLiga Slovak First Football League Belarusian Premier League Champions League Qualifying Europa League Qualifying Major League Soccer Brasileiro Argentine Primera Division Liga MX Uruguayan Primera Division Israeli Premier League Saudi Pro League Qatar Stars League Australian A-League Chinese Super League J1 League Copa Libertadores Copa Sudamericana AFC Champions League CONCACAF Champions League Club World Cup Segunda Division Serie B 2.Bundesliga Ligue 2 Eerste Divisie Euro Champ Qualifying Women's World Cup Nations League World Cup European Championship Copa America Africa Cup of Nations CONCACAF Gold Cup Confederations Cup CONCACAF Nations League World Cup Qualifying - Europe World Cup Qualifying - South America World Cup Qualifying - Africa World Cup Qualifying - Asia World Cup Qualifying - North Central America World Cup Qualifying - Oceania African Nations Championship Olympic Games Men's Football Olympic Games Women's Football Women's European Championship SheBelieves Cup Arnold Clark Cup Under-20s World Cup European Under-21s Championship European Under-19s Championship European Under-17s Championship
1
Arsenal to carry out medical assessment of PL winger before making bid?
2
France vs. Poland - prediction, team news, lineups
3
Granit Xhaka out to equal Cristiano Ronaldo record at Euro 2024
4
Spalletti slams 'timid' Italy players after last-gasp Croatia draw
5
Denmark vs. Serbia - prediction, team news, lineups
6
Chelsea 'make contact' over move for 21-year-old attacker
7
Netherlands vs. Austria - prediction, team news, lineups
8
England vs. Slovenia - prediction, team news, lineups
9
Transfer rumours: Longstaff exit talk, Shoretire Man Utd exit, Braithwaite interest
10
Euro 2024 permutations: Who needs what to reach last 16?