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Serie A
Fiorentina logo
Serie A | Gameweek 28
Mar 10, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Artemio Franchi
Roma logo

Fiorentina
2 - 2
Roma

Ranieri (18'), Mandragora (69')
Bonaventura (57'), Milenkovic (64')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Aouar (58'), Llorente (90+5')
Mancini (6'), Paredes (37'), Huijsen (45'), N'Dicka (68'), Baldanzi (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Fiorentina and Roma, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fiorentina

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: M. Haifa 3-4 Fiorentina
Thursday, March 7 at 8pm in Europa Conference League

Roma

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Roma 4-0 Brighton
Thursday, March 7 at 5.45pm in Europa League

We said: Fiorentina 1-1 Roma

 A repeat of the result in December's reverse fixture could be on the cards, as Fiorentina are far tougher to beat on home turf and Roma do not always produce their best outside the capital. The Giallorossi's rapid progress may therefore hit a minor bump in the road. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 45.46%. A win for Roma had a probability of 28.46% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.08%) and 2-0 (8.24%). The likeliest Roma win was 0-1 (8.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
FiorentinaDrawRoma
45.46% (0.246 0.25) 26.07% (0.049000000000003 0.05) 28.46% (-0.295 -0.3)
Both teams to score 51.32% (-0.342 -0.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.29% (-0.353 -0.35)52.7% (0.353 0.35)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.65% (-0.305 -0.31)74.34% (0.303 0.3)
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.87% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)23.12% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.01% (-0.053999999999995 -0.05)56.98% (0.053000000000004 0.05)
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.76% (-0.41 -0.41)33.23% (0.411 0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.15% (-0.456 -0.46)69.84% (0.455 0.45)
Score Analysis
    Fiorentina 45.46%
    Roma 28.46%
    Draw 26.07%
FiorentinaDrawRoma
1-0 @ 11.25% (0.15 0.15)
2-1 @ 9.08% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.24% (0.097000000000001 0.1)
3-1 @ 4.43% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-0 @ 4.02% (0.044 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.44% (-0.029 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.62% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.47% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 45.46%
1-1 @ 12.39% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 7.68% (0.106 0.11)
2-2 @ 5% (-0.053 -0.05)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 26.07%
0-1 @ 8.47% (0.023 0.02)
1-2 @ 6.83% (-0.065 -0.06)
0-2 @ 4.66% (-0.039 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.51% (-0.053 -0.05)
2-3 @ 1.84% (-0.04 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.71% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 28.46%

How you voted: Fiorentina vs Roma

Fiorentina
20.4%
Draw
22.9%
Roma
56.7%
157
Head to Head
Dec 10, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 15
Roma
1-1
Fiorentina
Lukaku (5')
Cristante (37'), Zalewski (41'), Paredes (80'), Llorente (90+6')
Zalewski (64'), Lukaku (87')
Martinez (66')
Ikone (64'), Biraghi (75'), Duncan (86')
Milenkovic (90+7')
> Preview
May 27, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 37
Fiorentina
2-1
Roma
Jovic (85'), Ikone (88')
Saponara (25'), Martinez (42'), Venuti (50'), Jovic (64'), Julio (77')
El Shaarawy (11')
Missori (32'), Solbakken (58'), Svilar (75'), Mourinho (84')
> Preview
Jan 15, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 18
Roma
2-0
Fiorentina
Dybala (40', 82')
> Preview
May 9, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 36
Fiorentina
2-0
Roma
Gonzalez (5' pen.), Bonaventura (11')
Amrabat (19'), Bonaventura (28'), Duncan (49')

Mancini (24')
> Preview
Aug 22, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 1
Roma
3-1
Fiorentina
Mkhitaryan (26'), Veretout (64', 79')
Pellegrini (13'), Zaniolo (44')
Zaniolo (52')
Milenkovic (60')
Bonaventura (45+3'), Pulgar (53')
Dragowski (17')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli128221991026
2Atalanta BCAtalanta1281331151625
3Fiorentina1274125101525
4Inter Milan1274126141225
5Lazio1281325141125
6Juventus126602171424
7AC Milan115332014618
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino124261518-314
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma122641618-212
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona124081727-1012
15Como122461323-1010
16CagliariCagliari122461222-1010
17Genoa12246922-1310
18Lecce12237521-169
19Monza121561015-58
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108
> Serie A Full Table


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