Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 46.88%. A win for Lecce had a probability of 26.96% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.13%) and 0-2 (8.71%). The likeliest Lecce win was 1-0 (8.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Lecce | Draw | Roma |
26.96% ( 0.52) | 26.16% ( -0.05) | 46.88% ( -0.46) |
Both teams to score 50.02% ( 0.54) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.1% ( 0.51) | 53.9% ( -0.51) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.64% ( 0.43) | 75.36% ( -0.43) |
Lecce Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.94% ( 0.7) | 35.06% ( -0.7) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.19% ( 0.73) | 71.81% ( -0.73) |
Roma Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.02% ( 0) | 22.98% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.23% ( 0) | 56.77% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Lecce | Draw | Roma |
1-0 @ 8.44% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 6.51% ( 0.12) 2-0 @ 4.43% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 2.27% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 1.67% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 1.55% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.09% Total : 26.96% | 1-1 @ 12.41% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.06% ( -0.16) 2-2 @ 4.79% ( 0.09) Other @ 0.9% Total : 26.15% | 0-1 @ 11.84% ( -0.24) 1-2 @ 9.13% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 8.71% ( -0.17) 1-3 @ 4.48% ( -0) 0-3 @ 4.27% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 2.35% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 1.65% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.57% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.88% Total : 46.87% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 26 |
2 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 31 | 15 | 16 | 25 |
3 | Fiorentina | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 25 | 10 | 15 | 25 |
4 | Inter Milan | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 26 | 14 | 12 | 25 |
5 | Lazio | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 25 | 14 | 11 | 25 |
6 | Juventus | 12 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 21 | 7 | 14 | 24 |
7 | AC Milan | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 14 | 6 | 18 |
8 | Bologna | 11 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 18 |
9 | Udinese | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 16 |
10 | Empoli | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 15 |
11 | Torino | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 14 |
12 | Roma | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 13 |
13 | Parma | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 12 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 12 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 17 | 27 | -10 | 12 |
15 | Como | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 10 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 10 |
17 | Genoa | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 22 | -13 | 10 |
18 | Lecce | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 21 | -16 | 9 |
19 | Monza | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 8 |
20 | VeneziaVenezia | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 8 |
> Serie A Full Table |