Europa League | Quarter-Finals | 2nd Leg
Apr 18, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Roma2 - 1AC Milan
The Match
Match Report
Roma book their spot in the semi-finals of the Europa League courtesy of a 3-1 aggregate victory over Serie A rivals AC Milan in the quarter-finals of the competition.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Roma and AC Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: AC Milan 0-1 Roma
Thursday, April 11 at 8pm in Europa League
Thursday, April 11 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Sassuolo 3-3 AC Milan
Sunday, April 14 at 2pm in Serie A
Sunday, April 14 at 2pm in Serie A
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 40.56%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 33.68% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.7%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 0-1 (8.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.
Result | ||
Roma | Draw | AC Milan |
40.56% ( -0.01) | 25.75% ( -0.01) | 33.68% ( 0.02) |
Both teams to score 54.67% ( 0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.56% ( 0.04) | 49.44% ( -0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.52% ( 0.04) | 71.47% ( -0.04) |
Roma Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.9% ( 0.02) | 24.1% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.61% ( 0.02) | 58.39% ( -0.02) |
AC Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.02% ( 0.03) | 27.98% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.38% ( 0.04) | 63.61% ( -0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Roma 40.56%
AC Milan 33.68%
Draw 25.75%
Roma | Draw | AC Milan |
1-0 @ 9.59% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.7% 2-0 @ 6.83% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.13% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.24% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.63% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.47% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.15% 4-2 @ 0.94% ( 0) Other @ 1.9% Total : 40.56% | 1-1 @ 12.22% 0-0 @ 6.74% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.54% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.12% ( 0) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.75% | 0-1 @ 8.59% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.78% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.47% 1-3 @ 3.31% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.35% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.32% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.05% ( 0) Other @ 2.81% Total : 33.68% |
How you voted: Roma vs AC Milan
Roma
40.6%Draw
18.4%AC Milan
41.0%266
Head to Head
Apr 11, 2024 8pm
Quarter-Finals 1st Leg
AC Milan
0-1
Roma
Sep 1, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Roma
1-2
AC Milan
Apr 29, 2023 5pm
Jan 8, 2023 7.45pm
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2025-01-17 12:52:10
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Liverpool | 20 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 48 | 20 | 28 | 47 |
2 | Arsenal | 21 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 41 | 19 | 22 | 43 |
3 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 21 | 12 | 5 | 4 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 41 |
4 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 21 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 37 | 22 | 15 | 38 |
5 | Chelsea | 21 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 41 | 26 | 15 | 37 |
6 | Manchester CityMan City | 21 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 38 | 29 | 9 | 35 |
7 | Aston Villa | 21 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 31 | 32 | -1 | 35 |
8 | Bournemouth | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 32 | 25 | 7 | 34 |
9 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 21 | 7 | 10 | 4 | 32 | 29 | 3 | 31 |
10 | Fulham | 21 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 32 | 30 | 2 | 30 |
11 | Brentford | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 40 | 37 | 3 | 28 |
12 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 26 | 29 | -3 | 26 |
13 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 27 | 41 | -14 | 26 |
14 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 21 | 7 | 3 | 11 | 43 | 32 | 11 | 24 |
15 | Crystal Palace | 21 | 5 | 9 | 7 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 24 |
16 | Everton | 20 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 17 |
17 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 21 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 31 | 48 | -17 | 16 |
18 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 21 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 20 | 37 | -17 | 16 |
19 | Leicester CityLeicester | 21 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 23 | 46 | -23 | 14 |
20 | Southampton | 21 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 13 | 47 | -34 | 6 |
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