Serie A | Gameweek 21
Jan 9, 2022 at 5.30pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Roma3 - 4Juventus
FT(HT: 1-1)
Dybala (18'), Locatelli (70'), Kulusevski (72'), De Sciglio (77')
Cuadrado (45+3'), de Ligt (52'), Locatelli (65')
de Ligt (81')
Cuadrado (45+3'), de Ligt (52'), Locatelli (65')
de Ligt (81')
We said: Roma 0-1 Juventus
There may not be many goals in this encounter at the Olimpico, as Juve are focusing on keeping things solid and hoping for inspiration to strike in this latest phase of Max Allegri's management. A makeshift defence may creak here and there, but the visitors managed to hold Napoli to a draw in midweek and can go one better by beating Roma for the third time in succession. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 44.48%. A win for Roma had a probability of 30.62% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.15%) and 0-2 (7.32%). The likeliest Roma win was 1-0 (7.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.74%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Juventus would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Roma | Draw | Juventus |
| 30.62% | 24.9% | 44.48% |
| Both teams to score 56.36% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.28% | 46.72% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.01% | 68.99% |
| Roma Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.38% | 28.62% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 35.58% | 64.43% |
| Juventus Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.95% | 21.05% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 46.15% | 53.85% |
| Score Analysis |
Roma 30.62%
Juventus 44.48%
Draw 24.89%
| Roma | Draw | Juventus |
| 1-0 @ 7.54% 2-1 @ 7.35% 2-0 @ 4.71% 3-1 @ 3.06% 3-2 @ 2.39% 3-0 @ 1.97% 4-1 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.65% Total : 30.62% | 1-1 @ 11.74% 0-0 @ 6.03% 2-2 @ 5.72% 3-3 @ 1.24% Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.89% | 0-1 @ 9.39% 1-2 @ 9.15% 0-2 @ 7.32% 1-3 @ 4.75% 0-3 @ 3.8% 2-3 @ 2.97% 1-4 @ 1.85% 0-4 @ 1.48% 2-4 @ 1.16% Other @ 2.61% Total : 44.48% |
How you voted: Roma vs Juventus
Roma
30.8%Draw
14.5%Juventus
54.7%159
Head to Head
Oct 17, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 8
Juventus
1-0
Roma
Sep 27, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 2
Roma
2-2
Juventus
