Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 21

Jan 9, 2022 at 5.30pm UK

Stadio Olimpico

Roma
3 - 4
Juventus

Abraham (11'), Mkhitaryan (48'), Pellegrini (53')
Veretout (50'), Ibanez (51'), Cristante (76')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Dybala (18'), Locatelli (70'), Kulusevski (72'), De Sciglio (77')
Cuadrado (45+3'), de Ligt (52'), Locatelli (65')
de Ligt (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Roma and Juventus, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

There may not be many goals in this encounter at the Olimpico, as Juve are focusing on keeping things solid and hoping for inspiration to strike in this latest phase of Max Allegri's management. A makeshift defence may creak here and there, but the visitors managed to hold Napoli to a draw in midweek and can go one better by beating Roma for the third time in succession. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 44.48%. A win for Roma had a probability of 30.62% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.15%) and 0-2 (7.32%). The likeliest Roma win was 1-0 (7.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.74%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Juventus would win this match.

Result
Roma	Draw	Juventus
30.62%	24.9%	44.48%

Both teams to score 56.36%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.28%

46.72%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.01%

68.99%

Roma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.38%

28.62%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.58%

64.43%

Juventus Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.95%

21.05%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.15%

53.85%

Score Analysis

Roma 30.62%

Juventus 44.48%

Draw 24.89%

Roma	Draw	Juventus
1-0 @ 7.54% 2-1 @ 7.35% 2-0 @ 4.71% 3-1 @ 3.06% 3-2 @ 2.39% 3-0 @ 1.97% 4-1 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.65% Total : 30.62%	1-1 @ 11.74% 0-0 @ 6.03% 2-2 @ 5.72% 3-3 @ 1.24% Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.89%	0-1 @ 9.39% 1-2 @ 9.15% 0-2 @ 7.32% 1-3 @ 4.75% 0-3 @ 3.8% 2-3 @ 2.97% 1-4 @ 1.85% 0-4 @ 1.48% 2-4 @ 1.16% Other @ 2.61% Total : 44.48%