Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 16

Dec 4, 2021 at 5pm UK

Stadio Olimpico

Roma
0 - 3
Inter Milan

Ibanez (37'), Mancini (63'), Zaniolo (75')

FT(HT: 0-3)

Calhanoglu (15'), Dzeko (24'), Dumfries (39')
Barella (47')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Roma and Inter Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Inter's greatest foes Milan last punctured Roma's excellent home record in Serie A, and the impressive Nerazzurri can make it a double triumph for the second city on Saturday. Inzaghi has certainly put his own stamp on things in the champions' dugout, and the deeper, more harmonious squad at his disposal will help him overcome Mourinho's men in a tightly-fought capital skirmish. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 46.11%. A win for Roma had a probability of 29.7% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.84%) and 0-2 (7.29%). The likeliest Roma win was 2-1 (7.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.

Result
Roma	Draw	Inter Milan
29.7%	24.19%	46.11%

Both teams to score 58.25%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56%

44%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.62%

66.38%

Roma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.12%

27.87%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.51%

63.48%

Inter Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.76%

19.23%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.06%

50.94%

Score Analysis

Roma 29.7%

Inter Milan 46.11%

Draw 24.19%

Roma	Draw	Inter Milan
2-1 @ 7.21% 1-0 @ 6.85% 2-0 @ 4.37% 3-1 @ 3.07% 3-2 @ 2.53% 3-0 @ 1.86% 4-1 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.82% Total : 29.7%	1-1 @ 11.29% 2-2 @ 5.94% 0-0 @ 5.36% 3-3 @ 1.39% Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.19%	1-2 @ 9.31% 0-1 @ 8.84% 0-2 @ 7.29% 1-3 @ 5.11% 0-3 @ 4% 2-3 @ 3.27% 1-4 @ 2.11% 0-4 @ 1.65% 2-4 @ 1.35% Other @ 3.2% Total : 46.11%