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Serie A
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Serie A | Gameweek 20
Jan 6, 2022 at 5.30pm UK
San Siro
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AC Milan
3 - 1
Roma

Giroud (8' pen.), Messias (17'), Leao (81')
Hernandez (44'), Krunic (56')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Abraham (40')
Abraham (7'), Zaniolo (18'), Karsdorp (44'), Mancini (84')
Karsdorp (74'), Mancini (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Serie A clash between AC Milan and Roma, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: AC Milan 2-1 Roma

 Milan average over two goals per game in the league this term, and have a number of their attacking stars back in action for Serie A's resumption. They can, therefore, take advantage of the defensive flaws that undermine Roma outside of the capital and cope with some important absentees; starting 2022 with a morale-boosting win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 47.64%. A win for Roma had a probability of 28.73% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.47%) and 2-0 (7.3%). The likeliest Roma win was 1-2 (7.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.92%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.

Result
AC MilanDrawRoma
47.64%23.63%28.73%
Both teams to score 59.53%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.97%42.04%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.56%64.44%
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.16%17.85%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.4%48.61%
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.46%27.54%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.94%63.06%
Score Analysis
    AC Milan 47.64%
    Roma 28.73%
    Draw 23.63%
AC MilanDrawRoma
2-1 @ 9.41%
1-0 @ 8.47%
2-0 @ 7.3%
3-1 @ 5.41%
3-0 @ 4.19%
3-2 @ 3.49%
4-1 @ 2.33%
4-0 @ 1.81%
4-2 @ 1.5%
Other @ 3.73%
Total : 47.64%
1-1 @ 10.92%
2-2 @ 6.07%
0-0 @ 4.92%
3-3 @ 1.5%
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 23.63%
1-2 @ 7.04%
0-1 @ 6.34%
0-2 @ 4.09%
1-3 @ 3.03%
2-3 @ 2.61%
0-3 @ 1.76%
1-4 @ 0.98%
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 28.73%

How you voted: AC Milan vs Roma

AC Milan
73.3%
Draw
15.6%
Roma
11.1%
243
Head to Head
Oct 31, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
Roma
1-2
AC Milan
El Shaarawy (90+3')
Zaniolo (7'), Karsdorp (24'), Mancini (49'), Veretout (90+7')
Ibrahimovic (26'), Kessie (57' pen.)
Ibrahimovic (27'), Hernandez (41'), Tomori (65'), Calabria (67'), Giroud (77'), Kessie (81')
Hernandez (66')
> Preview
Feb 28, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 24
Roma
1-2
AC Milan
Veretout (50')
Fazio (42'), Mkhitaryan (80'), Pellegrini (89')
Kessie (42' pen.), Rebic (58')
Saelemaekers (46'), Calabria (85'), Castillejo (90+5')
> Preview
Oct 26, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 5
AC Milan
3-3
Roma
Ibrahimovic (2', 79' pen.), Saelemaekers (47')
Leao (70'), Ibrahimovic (75'), Hernandez (82')
Dzeko (14'), Veretout (71' pen.), Kumbulla (84')
Pedro (77'), Cristante (81')
> Preview
Jun 28, 2020 4.15pm
Gameweek 28
AC Milan
2-0
Roma
> Preview
Oct 27, 2019 5pm
Gameweek 9
Roma
2-1
AC Milan
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli128221991026
2Atalanta BCAtalanta1281331151625
3Fiorentina1274125101525
4Inter Milan1274126141225
5Lazio1281325141125
6Juventus126602171424
7AC Milan115332014618
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino124261518-314
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma122641618-212
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona124081727-1012
15Como122461323-1010
16CagliariCagliari122461222-1010
17Genoa12246922-1310
18Lecce12237521-169
19Monza121561015-58
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108
> Serie A Full Table


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