Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 26

Feb 19, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Arechi

Salernitana
2 - 2
AC Milan

Bonazzoli (29'), Djuric (72')
Ederson (52'), Djuric (72')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Messias (5'), Rebic (77')
Bennacer (35'), Giroud (60'), Rebic (70'), Romagnoli (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Salernitana and AC Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Salernitana 1-3 AC Milan

Each of the last nine matches between the first and last team in the table has ended with a win for the leaders of Serie A, and that run stretching back to May 2016 is set to continue. Despite hiring a range of fresh faces in the transfer window - and now adding a new manager following their change of ownership - Salernitana fall far short of Milan's standards, and the Rossoneri can pick off the hosts through numerous attacking threats across the pitch. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 64.76%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 15.54%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.9%) and 0-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.26%), while for a Salernitana win it was 2-1 (4.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.

Result
Salernitana	Draw	AC Milan
15.54%	19.7%	64.76%

Both teams to score 53.84%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.45%

40.54%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.07%

62.93%

Salernitana Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.03%

38.97%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.31%

75.69%

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.21%

11.79%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63%

37%

Score Analysis

Salernitana 15.54%

AC Milan 64.76%

Draw 19.7%

Salernitana	Draw	AC Milan
2-1 @ 4.36% 1-0 @ 4.33% 2-0 @ 2.04% 3-2 @ 1.47% 3-1 @ 1.37% Other @ 1.97% Total : 15.54%	1-1 @ 9.26% 2-2 @ 4.66% 0-0 @ 4.59% 3-3 @ 1.04% Other @ 0.14% Total : 19.7%	0-2 @ 10.5% 1-2 @ 9.9% 0-1 @ 9.82% 0-3 @ 7.48% 1-3 @ 7.05% 0-4 @ 4% 1-4 @ 3.77% 2-3 @ 3.32% 2-4 @ 1.78% 0-5 @ 1.71% 1-5 @ 1.61% Other @ 3.81% Total : 64.76%