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Serie A header desktop

Serie A
Salernitana
Serie A | Gameweek 11
Oct 22, 2022 at 2pm UK
Stadio Arechi
Spezia Calcio logo

Salernitana
1 - 0
Spezia

Mazzocchi (48')
Vilhena (19'), Daniliuc (81'), Nicola (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Amian (19'), Kiwior (61'), Agudelo (81'), Holm (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Salernitana and Spezia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Salernitana

All competitions
Last Game: Inter Milan 2-0 Salernitana
Sunday, October 16 at 11.30am in Serie A

Spezia

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Spezia 3-1 Brescia
Wednesday, October 19 at 2pm in Coppa Italia

We said: Salernitana 2-1 Spezia

 Both sides will sense an opportunity to take maximum points, but as Spezia tend to travel so badly, Salernitana's greater goal threat can pay dividends. They have found the net at a rate of nearly two goals per game at the Arechi, so should be able to continue in that vein this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salernitana win with a probability of 51.92%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 23.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Salernitana win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.76%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.89%), while for a Spezia win it was 0-1 (7.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Salernitana in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Salernitana.

Result
SalernitanaDrawSpezia
51.92% (-0.125 -0.13) 25.05% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 23.03% (0.131 0.13)
Both teams to score 49.59% (0.167 0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.38% (0.145 0.15)52.62% (-0.146 -0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.73% (0.124 0.12)74.27% (-0.125 -0.13)
Salernitana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.74% (0.0040000000000049 0)20.26% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.39% (0.009999999999998 0.01)52.61% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Spezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.19% (0.20500000000001 0.21)37.8% (-0.207 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.42% (0.2 0.2)74.58% (-0.20100000000001 -0.2)
Score Analysis
    Salernitana 51.91%
    Spezia 23.03%
    Draw 25.05%
SalernitanaDrawSpezia
1-0 @ 12.22% (-0.069999999999999 -0.07)
2-0 @ 9.76% (-0.053000000000001 -0.05)
2-1 @ 9.5% (0.0019999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 5.2% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-1 @ 5.05% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 2.46% (0.015 0.02)
4-0 @ 2.07% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.02% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 0.98% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 51.91%
1-1 @ 11.89%
0-0 @ 7.66% (-0.044 -0.04)
2-2 @ 4.62% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 25.05%
0-1 @ 7.45% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-2 @ 5.79% (0.032 0.03)
0-2 @ 3.62% (0.02 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.88% (0.021 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.5% (0.017 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.18% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 1.62%
Total : 23.03%

How you voted: Salernitana vs Spezia

Salernitana
64.1%
Draw
20.5%
Spezia
15.4%
39
Head to Head
Feb 7, 2022 7.45pm
Salernitana
2-2
Spezia
Verdi (3', 16')
Mousset (30'), Fazio (53'), Radovanovic (90+1')
Manaj (12' pen.), Verde (30' pen.)
Amian (15'), Kiwior (88'), Nguiamba (90+4')
Oct 16, 2021 2pm
Spezia
2-1
Salernitana
Strelec (51'), Kovalenko (76')
Gyasi (62'), Manaj (90')
Simy (39')
Obi (53'), Coulibaly (60'), Ranieri (80')
Jul 31, 2020 8pm
Salernitana
1-2
Spezia
Gondo (30')
Di Tacchio (21'), Maistro (35'), Migliorini (59')
Maistro (62')
Mora (45+1'), N'Zola (90')
Maggiore (50'), Desjardins (90+5')
Dec 29, 2019 2pm
Spezia
2-1
Salernitana
Ragusa (5'), Gyasi (83')
Terzi (36'), Mastinu (68'), Maggiore (80')
Jallow (85')
Kiyine (28'), Billong (31'), Di Tacchio (89'), Karo (92')
Apr 2, 2019 8pm
Spezia
2-1
Salernitana
Mora (58'), Capradossi (90')
Mora (83')
Djuric (43')
Akpa-Akpro (42'), Jallow (52')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta16121339172237
2Napoli16112324111335
3Inter Milan15104140152534
4Fiorentina1594228111731
5Lazio1610153023731
6Juventus16610026121428
7Bologna156722118325
8AC Milan156542416823
9Udinese166281925-620
10Empoli164751416-219
11Torino165471720-319
12Roma164481823-516
13Genoa163761324-1116
14Lecce164481027-1716
15Parma163672328-515
16Como163671828-1015
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1650112139-1815
18CagliariCagliari163581526-1114
19Monza161781421-710
20VeneziaVenezia1624101529-1410
> Serie A Full Table


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