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Serie A | Gameweek 32
Apr 30, 2023 at 5pm UK
Stadio Artemio Franchi
Sampdoria logo

Fiorentina
5 - 0
Sampdoria

Castrovilli (45+2'), Dodo (62'), Duncan (66'), Kouame (76'), Terzic (88')
Kouame (81'), Terzic (90')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Murillo (60')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Fiorentina and Sampdoria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Fiorentina 0-0 Cremonese
Thursday, April 27 at 8pm in Coppa Italia
Last Game: Sampdoria 1-1 Spezia
Saturday, April 22 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Fiorentina 1-0 Sampdoria

These sides have drawn none of their last seven Serie A meetings, and that trend could continue on Sunday evening as Fiorentina get back to winning ways. Samp's weak attack and terrible away record suggests that they cannot overcome the Viola's challenge, so another defeat awaits. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 77.73%. A draw had a probability of 14.6% and a win for Sampdoria had a probability of 7.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.08%) and 1-0 (10.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.95%), while for a Sampdoria win it was 0-1 (2.77%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.

Result
FiorentinaDrawSampdoria
77.73% (-0.122 -0.12) 14.61% (0.045999999999999 0.05) 7.66% (0.077 0.08)
Both teams to score 44.35% (0.211 0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.4% (0.064 0.06)38.6% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.1% (0.069000000000003 0.07)60.9% (-0.067 -0.07)
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.89% (-0.01100000000001 -0.01)8.11% (0.0131 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
71.51% (-0.031000000000006 -0.03)28.49% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Sampdoria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
48.27% (0.237 0.24)51.73% (-0.234 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.17% (0.156 0.16)85.83% (-0.155 -0.16)
Score Analysis
    Fiorentina 77.72%
    Sampdoria 7.66%
    Draw 14.61%
FiorentinaDrawSampdoria
2-0 @ 13.23% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
3-0 @ 11.08% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
1-0 @ 10.54% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
2-1 @ 8.73% (0.023 0.02)
3-1 @ 7.31% (0.015 0.01)
4-0 @ 6.96% (-0.038 -0.04)
4-1 @ 4.59% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
5-0 @ 3.5% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.41% (0.022 0.02)
5-1 @ 2.31% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-2 @ 1.51% (0.013 0.01)
6-0 @ 1.46% (-0.01 -0.01)
6-1 @ 0.97%
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 77.72%
1-1 @ 6.95% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 4.2% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-2 @ 2.88% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 14.61%
0-1 @ 2.77% (0.011 0.01)
1-2 @ 2.29% (0.024 0.02)
0-2 @ 0.91% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 1.69%
Total : 7.66%

How you voted: Fiorentina vs Sampdoria

Fiorentina
73.3%
Draw
17.8%
Sampdoria
8.9%
45
Head to Head
Jan 12, 2023 5pm
Round of 16
Fiorentina
1-0
Sampdoria
Barak (25')
Amrabat (32')

Sabiri (24'), Murillo (54'), Rincon (88'), Contini (90+6')
Murillo (90+3')
Nov 6, 2022 2pm
May 16, 2022 5.30pm
gameweek 37
Sampdoria
4-1
Fiorentina
Ferrari (16'), Quagliarella (30'), Thorsby (71'), Sabiri (84')
Vieira (18'), Trimboli (89')
Colley (90+3')
Gonzalez (89' pen.)
Torreira (14'), Gonzalez (15'), Maleh (69')
Nov 30, 2021 5.30pm
gameweek 15
Fiorentina
3-1
Sampdoria
Callejon (23'), Vlahovic (32'), Sottil (45')
Gabbiadini (15')
Gabbiadini (42'), Colley (74'), Ferrari (82')
Feb 14, 2021 2pm
gameweek 22
Sampdoria
2-1
Fiorentina
Balde (31'), Quagliarella (71')
Damsgaard (57')
Vlahovic (37')
Venuti (34'), Pulgar (61'), Bonaventura (79')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli128221991026
2Atalanta BCAtalanta1281331151625
3Fiorentina1274125101525
4Inter Milan1274126141225
5Lazio1281325141125
6Juventus126602171424
7AC Milan115332014618
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino124261518-314
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma122641618-212
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona124081727-1012
15Como122461323-1010
16CagliariCagliari122461222-1010
17Genoa12246922-1310
18Lecce12237521-169
19Monza121561015-58
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108


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