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Serie A | Gameweek 32
Apr 30, 2023 at 5pm UK
Stadio Artemio Franchi
Sampdoria logo

Fiorentina
5 - 0
Sampdoria

Castrovilli (45+2'), Dodo (62'), Duncan (66'), Kouame (76'), Terzic (88')
Kouame (81'), Terzic (90')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Murillo (60')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Fiorentina and Sampdoria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Fiorentina 0-0 Cremonese
Thursday, April 27 at 8pm in Coppa Italia
Last Game: Sampdoria 1-1 Spezia
Saturday, April 22 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Fiorentina 1-0 Sampdoria

These sides have drawn none of their last seven Serie A meetings, and that trend could continue on Sunday evening as Fiorentina get back to winning ways. Samp's weak attack and terrible away record suggests that they cannot overcome the Viola's challenge, so another defeat awaits. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 77.73%. A draw had a probability of 14.6% and a win for Sampdoria had a probability of 7.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.08%) and 1-0 (10.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.95%), while for a Sampdoria win it was 0-1 (2.77%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.

Result
FiorentinaDrawSampdoria
77.73% (-0.122 -0.12) 14.61% (0.045999999999999 0.05) 7.66% (0.077 0.08)
Both teams to score 44.35% (0.211 0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.4% (0.064 0.06)38.6% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.1% (0.069000000000003 0.07)60.9% (-0.067 -0.07)
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.89% (-0.01100000000001 -0.01)8.11% (0.0131 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
71.51% (-0.031000000000006 -0.03)28.49% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Sampdoria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
48.27% (0.237 0.24)51.73% (-0.234 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.17% (0.156 0.16)85.83% (-0.155 -0.16)
Score Analysis
    Fiorentina 77.72%
    Sampdoria 7.66%
    Draw 14.61%
FiorentinaDrawSampdoria
2-0 @ 13.23% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
3-0 @ 11.08% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
1-0 @ 10.54% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
2-1 @ 8.73% (0.023 0.02)
3-1 @ 7.31% (0.015 0.01)
4-0 @ 6.96% (-0.038 -0.04)
4-1 @ 4.59% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
5-0 @ 3.5% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.41% (0.022 0.02)
5-1 @ 2.31% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-2 @ 1.51% (0.013 0.01)
6-0 @ 1.46% (-0.01 -0.01)
6-1 @ 0.97%
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 77.72%
1-1 @ 6.95% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 4.2% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-2 @ 2.88% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 14.61%
0-1 @ 2.77% (0.011 0.01)
1-2 @ 2.29% (0.024 0.02)
0-2 @ 0.91% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 1.69%
Total : 7.66%

How you voted: Fiorentina vs Sampdoria

Fiorentina
73.3%
Draw
17.8%
Sampdoria
8.9%
45
Head to Head
Jan 12, 2023 5pm
Round of 16
Fiorentina
1-0
Sampdoria
Barak (25')
Amrabat (32')

Sabiri (24'), Murillo (54'), Rincon (88'), Contini (90+6')
Murillo (90+3')
Nov 6, 2022 2pm
May 16, 2022 5.30pm
gameweek 37
Sampdoria
4-1
Fiorentina
Ferrari (16'), Quagliarella (30'), Thorsby (71'), Sabiri (84')
Vieira (18'), Trimboli (89')
Colley (90+3')
Gonzalez (89' pen.)
Torreira (14'), Gonzalez (15'), Maleh (69')
Nov 30, 2021 5.30pm
gameweek 15
Fiorentina
3-1
Sampdoria
Callejon (23'), Vlahovic (32'), Sottil (45')
Gabbiadini (15')
Gabbiadini (42'), Colley (74'), Ferrari (82')
Feb 14, 2021 2pm
gameweek 22
Sampdoria
2-1
Fiorentina
Balde (31'), Quagliarella (71')
Damsgaard (57')
Vlahovic (37')
Venuti (34'), Pulgar (61'), Bonaventura (79')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta16121339172237
2Napoli16112324111335
3Inter Milan15104140152534
4Fiorentina1594228111731
5Lazio1610153023731
6Juventus16610026121428
7Bologna156722118325
8AC Milan156542416823
9Udinese166281925-620
10Empoli164751416-219
11Torino165471720-319
12Roma164481823-516
13Genoa163761324-1116
14Lecce164481027-1716
15Parma163672328-515
16Como163671828-1015
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1650112139-1815
18CagliariCagliari163581526-1114
19Monza161781421-710
20VeneziaVenezia1624101529-1410


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