Serie A | Gameweek 21
Jan 21, 2024 at 5pm UK
Stadio Arechi
Salernitana1 - 2Genoa
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Napoli 2-1 Salernitana
Saturday, January 13 at 2pm in Serie A
Saturday, January 13 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Genoa 0-0 Torino
Saturday, January 13 at 2pm in Serie A
Saturday, January 13 at 2pm in Serie A
We said: Salernitana 0-1 Genoa
Although Genoa have struggled to score regularly on the road, Salernitana's vulnerable defence can be breached at least once by Gilardino's tough-to-beat Grifone. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genoa win with a probability of 43.21%. A win for Salernitana had a probability of 30.41% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genoa win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.86%) and 0-2 (7.77%). The likeliest Salernitana win was 1-0 (8.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Genoa would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Salernitana | Draw | Genoa |
30.41% ( -0.12) | 26.38% ( -0.08) | 43.21% ( 0.2) |
| Both teams to score 51.46% ( 0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
