We said: Bologna 1-0 Genoa
Based purely on form this season, there can be only one winner, as Bologna are unbeaten in nine at home - winning eight - and Genoa have lost six out of nine on the road.
However, it will be interesting to see whether Bologna can respond to a bruising defeat last weekend, while Genoa will be riding high after three very impressive results to see out 2023.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 48.99%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for Genoa had a probability of 23.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.27%) and 2-1 (8.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.66%), while for a Genoa win it was 0-1 (9.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.
-1.29) 
0.35) 
