Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 61.16%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 16.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.18%) and 1-2 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.4%), while for a Salernitana win it was 1-0 (5.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Juventus would win this match.
Result | ||
Salernitana | Draw | Juventus |
16.96% ( -0.24) | 21.88% ( -0.28) | 61.16% ( 0.53) |
Both teams to score 49.75% ( 0.4) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.44% ( 0.79) | 47.56% ( -0.78) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.24% ( 0.72) | 69.76% ( -0.72) |
Salernitana Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.57% ( 0.17) | 41.43% ( -0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.06% ( 0.15) | 77.94% ( -0.15) |
Juventus Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.94% ( 0.44) | 15.06% ( -0.43) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.43% ( 0.82) | 43.57% ( -0.81) |
Score Analysis |
Salernitana | Draw | Juventus |
1-0 @ 5.5% ( -0.16) 2-1 @ 4.59% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 2.42% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 1.35% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.28% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.83% Total : 16.96% | 1-1 @ 10.4% ( -0.14) 0-0 @ 6.24% ( -0.21) 2-2 @ 4.34% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.89% Total : 21.87% | 0-1 @ 11.81% ( -0.2) 0-2 @ 11.18% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 9.85% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 7.06% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 6.22% ( 0.11) 0-4 @ 3.34% ( 0.09) 1-4 @ 2.94% ( 0.1) 2-3 @ 2.74% ( 0.06) 2-4 @ 1.3% ( 0.05) 0-5 @ 1.27% ( 0.05) 1-5 @ 1.11% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.35% Total : 61.16% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Germany | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | Switzerland | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | Hungary | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | Scotland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Austria | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | France | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | Netherlands | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | Poland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |