Serie A | Gameweek 1
Aug 20, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
MAPEI Stadium - Citta del Tricolore
Sassuolo0 - 2Atalanta
FT(HT: 0-0)
De Ketelaere (83'), Zortea (90+3')
We said: Sassuolo 1-1 Atalanta BC
Often a tricky place to tread, Sassuolo's Mapei Stadium would not be Atalanta's first-choice venue for their Serie A opener, and they may have to settle for taking home just one point. With their new forwards still settling in, the Nerazzurri can be caught out by their hosts, who boast several attacking threats of their own. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sassuolo win with a probability of 38.12%. A win for Atalanta BC had a probability of 35.15% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sassuolo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.27%) and 2-0 (6.68%). The likeliest Atalanta BC win was 0-1 (9.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sassuolo | Draw | Atalanta BC |
38.12% ( 0) | 26.74% ( 0.01) | 35.15% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 51.69% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
