MX23RW : Wednesday, December 18 05:58:20| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Serie A
Atalanta logo
Serie A | Gameweek 33
May 3, 2023 at 5pm UK
Gewiss Stadium
Spezia Calcio logo

Atalanta
3 - 2
Spezia

de Roon (32'), Zappacosta (48'), Muriel (54')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Gyasi (18'), Bourabia (64')
Ampadu (38'), Bastoni (40'), Agudelo (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Serie A clash between Atalanta BC and Spezia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atalanta BC

All competitions
Last Game: Torino 1-2 Atalanta
Saturday, April 29 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Spezia

All competitions
Last Game: Spezia 0-2 Monza
Friday, April 28 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Atalanta BC 2-0 Spezia

 Atalanta are beginning to find some form at just the right time, while Spezia are becoming more desperate to end their winless streak. Taking both things into consideration, we can only see the home side running out comfortable victors. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 67.69%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 13.52%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.2%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.88%), while for a Spezia win it was 0-1 (4.03%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.

Result
Atalanta BCDrawSpezia
67.69% (0.372 0.37) 18.79% (0.074000000000002 0.07) 13.52% (-0.445 -0.45)
Both teams to score 51.68% (-1.549 -1.55)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.27% (-1.402 -1.4)40.73% (1.403 1.4)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.88% (-1.45 -1.45)63.12% (1.452 1.45)
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.93% (-0.29899999999999 -0.3)11.06% (0.299 0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.58% (-0.66 -0.66)35.42% (0.661 0.66)
Spezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.11% (-1.542 -1.54)41.89% (1.544 1.54)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.66% (-1.372 -1.37)78.34% (1.373 1.37)
Score Analysis
    Atalanta BC 67.69%
    Spezia 13.52%
    Draw 18.79%
Atalanta BCDrawSpezia
2-0 @ 11.23% (0.45 0.45)
1-0 @ 10.2% (0.521 0.52)
2-1 @ 9.77% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-0 @ 8.24% (0.226 0.23)
3-1 @ 7.17% (-0.103 -0.1)
4-0 @ 4.54% (0.069999999999999 0.07)
4-1 @ 3.95% (-0.107 -0.11)
3-2 @ 3.12% (-0.182 -0.18)
5-0 @ 2% (0.006 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.74% (-0.069 -0.07)
4-2 @ 1.72% (-0.123 -0.12)
Other @ 4.02%
Total : 67.69%
1-1 @ 8.88% (0.090999999999999 0.09)
0-0 @ 4.63% (0.291 0.29)
2-2 @ 4.25% (-0.193 -0.19)
3-3 @ 0.91% (-0.094 -0.09)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 18.79%
0-1 @ 4.03% (0.09 0.09)
1-2 @ 3.86% (-0.125 -0.13)
0-2 @ 1.75% (-0.035 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.23% (-0.112 -0.11)
1-3 @ 1.12% (-0.087 -0.09)
Other @ 1.52%
Total : 13.52%

How you voted: Atalanta vs Spezia

Atalanta BC
86.8%
Draw
8.8%
Spezia
4.4%
68
Head to Head
Jan 19, 2023 2pm
Round of 16
Atalanta
5-2
Spezia
Lookman (10', 12'), Hateboer (26'), Hojlund (72'), Ampadu (90' og.)
Ederson (5')
Ekdal (14'), Verde (38')
Hristov (66'), Ampadu (88')
Jan 4, 2023 1.30pm
gameweek 16
Spezia
2-2
Atalanta
Gyasi (8'), N'Zola (31')
Hojlund (77'), Pasalic (90+2')
Lookman (45+7')
May 8, 2022 11.30am
gameweek 36
Spezia
1-3
Atalanta
Verde (30')
Bastoni (41'), Maggiore (44')
Muriel (16'), Djimsiti (73'), Pasalic (87')
Malinovskyi (53'), Freuler (57'), Muriel (62')
Nov 20, 2021 2pm
gameweek 13
Atalanta
5-2
Spezia
Pasalic (18', 41'), Zapata (38' pen.), Muriel (83'), Malinovskyi (89')
Koopmeiners (10'), Pasalic (71')
N'Zola (11', 90+1')
Gyasi (5'), Sala (36'), Hristov (49')
Mar 12, 2021 7.45pm
gameweek 27
Atalanta
3-1
Spezia
Pasalic (54', 73'), Muriel (55')
Toloi (8'), de Roon (25')
Piccoli (82')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta16121339172237
2Napoli16112324111335
3Inter Milan15104140152534
4Fiorentina1594228111731
5Lazio1610153023731
6Juventus16610026121428
7Bologna156722118325
8AC Milan156542416823
9Udinese166281925-620
10Empoli164751416-219
11Torino165471720-319
12Roma164481823-516
13Genoa163761324-1116
14Lecce164481027-1716
15Parma163672328-515
16Como163671828-1015
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1650112139-1815
18CagliariCagliari163581526-1114
19Monza161781421-710
20VeneziaVenezia1624101529-1410
> Serie A Full Table


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