Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 58.27%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Atalanta BC had a probability of 18.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.4%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.15%), while for an Atalanta BC win it was 0-1 (6.47%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.
Result | ||
Inter Milan | Draw | Atalanta BC |
58.27% (![]() | 23.6% (![]() | 18.13% (![]() |
Both teams to score 46.83% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.36% (![]() | 52.64% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.71% (![]() | 74.29% (![]() |
Inter Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.17% (![]() | 17.82% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.43% (![]() | 48.56% (![]() |
Atalanta BC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.99% (![]() | 43.01% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.7% (![]() | 79.3% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Inter Milan | Draw | Atalanta BC |
1-0 @ 13.22% (![]() 2-0 @ 11.4% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 9.62% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 6.55% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 5.53% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.83% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.38% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.33% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.01% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 0.98% ( ![]() Other @ 2.42% Total : 58.27% | 1-1 @ 11.15% (![]() 0-0 @ 7.67% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.06% ( ![]() Other @ 0.72% Total : 23.59% | 0-1 @ 6.47% (![]() 1-2 @ 4.71% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 2.73% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.32% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.14% ( ![]() Other @ 1.76% Total : 18.13% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter Milan | 28 | 18 | 7 | 3 | 63 | 27 | 36 | 61 |
2 | Napoli | 28 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 45 | 23 | 22 | 60 |
3 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 28 | 17 | 7 | 4 | 63 | 26 | 37 | 58 |
4 | Juventus | 28 | 13 | 13 | 2 | 45 | 25 | 20 | 52 |
5 | Lazio | 28 | 15 | 6 | 7 | 50 | 36 | 14 | 51 |
6 | Bologna | 28 | 13 | 11 | 4 | 44 | 34 | 10 | 50 |
7 | Roma | 28 | 13 | 7 | 8 | 43 | 30 | 13 | 46 |
8 | Fiorentina | 28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 43 | 30 | 13 | 45 |
9 | AC Milan | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 42 | 32 | 10 | 44 |
10 | Udinese | 28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 35 | 38 | -3 | 40 |
11 | Torino | 28 | 8 | 11 | 9 | 33 | 34 | -1 | 35 |
12 | Genoa | 28 | 7 | 11 | 10 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 32 |
13 | Como | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 34 | 44 | -10 | 29 |
14 | CagliariCagliari | 28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 28 | 43 | -15 | 26 |
15 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 28 | 8 | 2 | 18 | 28 | 58 | -30 | 26 |
16 | Lecce | 28 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 20 | 46 | -26 | 25 |
17 | Parma | 28 | 5 | 9 | 14 | 34 | 48 | -14 | 24 |
18 | Empoli | 28 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 23 | 45 | -22 | 22 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 28 | 3 | 10 | 15 | 23 | 42 | -19 | 19 |
20 | Monza | 28 | 2 | 8 | 18 | 23 | 48 | -25 | 14 |
> Serie A Full Table |