Serie A | Gameweek 7
Oct 6, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Artemio Franchi
Fiorentina2 - 1AC Milan
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Fiorentina 2-0 New Saints
Thursday, October 3 at 8pm in Conference League
Thursday, October 3 at 8pm in Conference League
We said: Fiorentina 1-1 AC Milan
Though Milan's domestic form is on the rise, Fiorentina are rarely beaten on Tuscan turf and should be able to resist their visitors from the second city. The Rossoneri are still vulnerable at the back, so the Viola can score at least once and add another point to their modest Serie A tally. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 59.11%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for AC Milan had a probability of 19.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.02%) and 1-0 (8.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.71%), while for an AC Milan win it was 1-2 (5.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Fiorentina in this match.
| Result | ||
| Fiorentina | Draw | AC Milan |
59.11% ( 0.43) | 21.05% ( -0.08) | 19.84% ( -0.35) |
| Both teams to score 57.99% ( -0.34) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.72% ( -0.16) | 39.28% ( 0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.38% ( -0.17) | 61.62% ( 0.17) |
| Fiorentina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87% ( 0.07) | 13% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 60.48% ( 0.15) | 39.51% ( -0.15) |
| AC Milan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.65% ( -0.44) | 33.35% ( 0.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 30.03% ( -0.49) | 69.97% ( 0.48) |
| Score Analysis |
Fiorentina 59.11%
AC Milan 19.84%
Draw 21.05%
| Fiorentina | Draw | AC Milan |
| 2-1 @ 9.91% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.02% ( 0.12)1-0 @ 8.84% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 6.74% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 6.14% ( 0.1)3-2 @ 3.7% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 3.44% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 3.13% ( 0.06)4-2 @ 1.89% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.4% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.28% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.62% Total : 59.11% | 1-1 @ 9.71% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.44% ( -0.06)0-0 @ 4.33% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.36% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.21% Total : 21.05% | 1-2 @ 5.33% ( -0.07) 0-1 @ 4.76% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 2.61% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 1.99% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 1.95% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.23% Total : 19.84% |
How you voted: Fiorentina vs AC Milan
Fiorentina
22.8%Draw
25.7%AC Milan
51.5%167
Head to Head
Mar 30, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 30
Fiorentina
1-2
AC Milan
Mar 4, 2023 7.45pm
Nov 13, 2022 5pm
Form Guide
