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Serie A | Gameweek 7
Oct 6, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Artemio Franchi
Milan logo

Fiorentina
vs.
AC Milan

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Fiorentina and AC Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Fiorentina 2-0 New Saints
Thursday, October 3 at 8pm in Conference League
Last Game: B. Leverkusen 1-0 AC Milan
Tuesday, October 1 at 8pm in Champions League

We say: Fiorentina 1-1 AC Milan

Though Milan's domestic form is on the rise, Fiorentina are rarely beaten on Tuscan turf and should be able to resist their visitors from the second city. The Rossoneri are still vulnerable at the back, so the Viola can score at least once and add another point to their modest Serie A tally. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Fiorentina win with a probability of 59.11%. A draw has a probability of 21% and a win for AC Milan has a probability of 19.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (9.02%) and 1-0 (8.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.71%), while for an AC Milan win it is 1-2 (5.33%).

Result
FiorentinaDrawAC Milan
59.11% (0.51600000000001 0.52) 21.05% (-0.137 -0.14) 19.84% (-0.379 -0.38)
Both teams to score 57.99% (-0.16800000000001 -0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.72% (0.082000000000001 0.08)39.28% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.38% (0.083999999999996 0.08)61.62% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87% (0.17700000000001 0.18)13% (-0.177 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.48% (0.361 0.36)39.51% (-0.36199999999999 -0.36)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.65% (-0.327 -0.33)33.35% (0.326 0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.03% (-0.36 -0.36)69.97% (0.35799999999999 0.36)
Score Analysis
    Fiorentina 59.11%
    AC Milan 19.84%
    Draw 21.05%
FiorentinaDrawAC Milan
2-1 @ 9.91% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 9.02% (0.086 0.09)
1-0 @ 8.84% (0.026 0.03)
3-1 @ 6.74% (0.05 0.05)
3-0 @ 6.14% (0.098999999999999 0.1)
3-2 @ 3.7% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 3.44% (0.048 0.05)
4-0 @ 3.13% (0.071 0.07)
4-2 @ 1.89% (0.01 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.4% (0.029 0.03)
5-0 @ 1.28% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 3.62%
Total : 59.11%
1-1 @ 9.71% (-0.058999999999999 -0.06)
2-2 @ 5.44% (-0.045 -0.04)
0-0 @ 4.33% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.36% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 21.05%
1-2 @ 5.33% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-1 @ 4.76% (-0.061 -0.06)
0-2 @ 2.61% (-0.057 -0.06)
2-3 @ 1.99% (-0.034 -0.03)
1-3 @ 1.95% (-0.047 -0.05)
0-3 @ 0.96% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 19.84%

Who will win Sunday's Serie A clash between Fiorentina and AC Milan?

Fiorentina
Draw
AC Milan
Fiorentina
24.2%
Draw
28.8%
AC Milan
47.0%
132
Head to Head
Mar 30, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 30
Fiorentina
1-2
AC Milan
Duncan (50')
Biraghi (13'), Martinez (24')
Loftus-Cheek (47'), Leao (53')
Thiaw (21'), Tomori (89'), Loftus-Cheek (90+3')
Nov 25, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 13
AC Milan
1-0
Fiorentina
Hernandez (45+2' pen.)
Tomori (56'), Pioli (77')

Arthur (12'), Parisi (45+1')
Mar 4, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 25
Fiorentina
2-1
AC Milan
Gonzalez (49' pen.), Jovic (87')
Hernandez (90+5')
Nov 13, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 15
AC Milan
2-1
Fiorentina
Leao (2'), Milenkovic (90+2' og.)
Barak (28')
May 1, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 35
AC Milan
1-0
Fiorentina
Leao (82')
Bennacer (88')

Maleh (2'), Venuti (42'), Martinez (72')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli7511145916
2Inter Milan7421169714
3Udinese74121010013
4Juventus7340101913
5Lazio74121411313
6AC Milan6321147711
7Torino73221211111
8Atalanta BCAtalanta73131613310
9Empoli724164210
10Roma62317439
11Hellas VeronaHellas Verona7304121209
12Bologna715179-28
13Como72231014-48
14Fiorentina61417707
15CagliariCagliari7133511-66
16Parma71331012-26
17Lecce7124312-95
18Genoa7124515-105
19VeneziaVenezia7115512-74
20Monza603348-43


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