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Serie A | Gameweek 36
May 21, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino
Fiorentina logo

Torino
1 - 1
Fiorentina

Sanabria (66')
Singo (60')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Jovic (48')
Mandragora (19'), Bianco (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Torino and Fiorentina, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hellas Verona 0-1 Torino
Sunday, May 14 at 11.30am in Serie A
Last Game: Basel 1-3 Fiorentina
Thursday, May 18 at 8pm in Europa Conference League

We said: Torino 1-1 Fiorentina

Torino have not won any of their last 15 Serie A matches after conceding a goal, such has been their lack of precision in the final third. Indeed, the last time they won without keeping a clean sheet was back in October, so if Fiorentina can find the net, these two mid-table teams could stay locked together on points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 47.47%. A win for Torino had a probability of 26.4% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.16%) and 0-2 (8.88%). The likeliest Torino win was 1-0 (8.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
TorinoDrawFiorentina
26.4% (-0.41 -0.41) 26.13% (0.119 0.12) 47.47% (0.298 0.3)
Both teams to score 49.68% (-0.66699999999999 -0.67)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.87% (-0.71 -0.71)54.13% (0.716 0.72)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.46% (-0.598 -0.6)75.55% (0.60300000000001 0.6)
Torino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.36% (-0.72199999999999 -0.72)35.64% (0.728 0.73)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.59% (-0.754 -0.75)72.41% (0.759 0.76)
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.2% (-0.163 -0.16)22.8% (0.169 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.49% (-0.247 -0.25)56.51% (0.251 0.25)
Score Analysis
    Torino 26.4%
    Fiorentina 47.46%
    Draw 26.13%
TorinoDrawFiorentina
1-0 @ 8.39% (0.068999999999999 0.07)
2-1 @ 6.39% (-0.106 -0.11)
2-0 @ 4.33% (-0.05 -0.05)
3-1 @ 2.2% (-0.081 -0.08)
3-2 @ 1.63% (-0.069 -0.07)
3-0 @ 1.49% (-0.048 -0.05)
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 26.4%
1-1 @ 12.39% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 8.13% (0.225 0.23)
2-2 @ 4.73% (-0.103 -0.1)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 26.13%
0-1 @ 12.01% (0.27 0.27)
1-2 @ 9.16% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-2 @ 8.88% (0.158 0.16)
1-3 @ 4.51% (-0.031 -0.03)
0-3 @ 4.38% (0.057 0.06)
2-3 @ 2.33% (-0.062 -0.06)
1-4 @ 1.67% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.62% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 47.46%

How you voted: Torino vs Fiorentina

Torino
53.5%
Draw
23.3%
Fiorentina
23.3%
43
Head to Head
Feb 1, 2023 5pm
Quarter-Finals
Fiorentina
2-1
Torino
Jovic (65'), Ikone (90')
Karamoh (90+3')
Jan 21, 2023 7.45pm
gameweek 19
Fiorentina
0-1
Torino

Saponara (45'), Duncan (50')
Miranchuk (33')
Ricci (45'), Sanabria (88')
Jan 10, 2022 4pm
gameweek 21
Torino
4-0
Fiorentina
Singo (19'), Brekalo (23', 31'), Sanabria (58')
Djidji (30'), Vojvoda (55')

Martinez (13'), Julio (62')
Aug 28, 2021 7.45pm
gameweek 2
Fiorentina
2-1
Torino
Gonzalez (41'), Vlahovic (70')
Castrovilli (22'), Milenkovic (38'), Bonaventura (48'), Vlahovic (66')
Verdi (89')
Djidji (39'), Mandragora (45'), Buongiorno (65'), Aina (80'), Lukic (83')
Jan 29, 2021 7.45pm
gameweek 20
Torino
1-1
Fiorentina
Belotti (88')
Lyanco (37'), Belotti (72')
Ribery (67')
Prandelli (83'), Kouame (84'), Amrabat (90+2')
Castrovilli (61'), Milenkovic (72')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter Milan28187363273661
2Napoli28186445232260
3Atalanta BCAtalanta28177463263758
4Juventus281313245252052
5Lazio28156750361451
6Bologna281311444341050
7Roma28137843301346
8Fiorentina28136943301345
9AC Milan28128842321044
10Udinese28117103538-340
11Torino2881193334-135
12Genoa28711102636-1032
13Como2878133444-1029
14CagliariCagliari2868142843-1526
15Hellas VeronaHellas Verona2882182858-3026
16Lecce2867152046-2625
17Parma2859143448-1424
18Empoli28410142345-2222
19VeneziaVenezia28310152342-1919
20Monza2828182348-2514


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