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Fiorentina logo
Europa Conference League | League Stage
Oct 3, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stadio Artemio Franchi

Fiorentina
vs.
New Saints

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between Fiorentina and The New Saints, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Newtown 1-6 New Saints
Friday, September 27 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

We say: Fiorentina 3-0 The New Saints

Fiorentina are not likely to field a full-strength team, but their squad depth should be sufficient to avoid a slip-up against TNS. The Serie A side have accrued plenty of experience in this competition since 2022, while their visitors are just embarking on an historic first quest into the league phase. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Fiorentina win with a probability of 57.43%. A win for The New Saints has a probability of 21.89% and a draw has a probability of 20.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (7.75%) and 1-0 (7.3%). The likeliest The New Saints win is 1-2 (5.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.1%).

Result
FiorentinaDrawThe New Saints
57.43% (0.055999999999997 0.06) 20.67% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01) 21.89% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)
Both teams to score 62.74% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.45% (-0.031000000000006 -0.03)34.55% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.51% (-0.032999999999994 -0.03)56.48% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.03% (0.0049999999999955 0)11.97% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.62% (0.012999999999998 0.01)37.37% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
The New Saints Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.27% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)28.72% (0.058 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.45% (-0.073 -0.07)64.55% (0.070999999999998 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Fiorentina 57.43%
    The New Saints 21.89%
    Draw 20.67%
FiorentinaDrawThe New Saints
2-1 @ 9.66% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 7.75% (0.016 0.02)
1-0 @ 7.3% (0.013 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.84% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-0 @ 5.48% (0.012 0.01)
3-2 @ 4.27% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
4-1 @ 3.63% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 2.91% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
4-2 @ 2.26% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
5-1 @ 1.54% (0.002 0)
5-0 @ 1.24% (0.0030000000000001 0)
5-2 @ 0.96% (-0.001 -0)
4-3 @ 0.94% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 57.43%
1-1 @ 9.1% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-2 @ 6.03% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
0-0 @ 3.44% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-3 @ 1.77% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 20.67%
1-2 @ 5.68% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-1 @ 4.29% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 2.68% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.51% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.36% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.11% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 21.89%

Who will win Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between Fiorentina and New Saints?

Fiorentina
Draw
The New Saints
Fiorentina
87.5%
Draw
12.5%
The New Saints
0.0%
8
rhs 2.0
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