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Serie A | Gameweek 18
Dec 30, 2023 at 2pm UK
Dacia Arena
Bologna logo

Udinese
3 - 0
Bologna

Pereyra (23'), Lucca (48'), Payero (52')
Pereyra (45+2'), Success (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Urbanski (5'), Ferguson (45+3'), Freuler (63'), Zirkzee (72'), Fabbian (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Udinese and Bologna, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Torino 1-1 Udinese
Saturday, December 23 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Bologna 1-0 Atalanta
Saturday, December 23 at 2pm in Serie A

We said: Udinese 0-1 Bologna

Bologna are a well-oiled machine under Thiago Motta, and it is not asking too much for the Rossoblu to post a fifth straight win to finish 2023 in fitting style. As Udinese lack a reliable finisher and are at a low ebb in terms of confidence, expect the away side to head home with all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Udinese win with a probability of 42.17%. A win for Bologna had a probability of 31.58% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Udinese win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.79%) and 2-0 (7.43%). The likeliest Bologna win was 0-1 (8.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Udinese would win this match.

Result
UdineseDrawBologna
42.17% (0.046999999999997 0.05) 26.24%31.58% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
Both teams to score 52.4% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.94% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)52.05% (0.012 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.21% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)73.78% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Udinese Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.55% (0.016000000000005 0.02)24.44% (-0.02 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.12% (0.025000000000006 0.03)58.87% (-0.028000000000006 -0.03)
Bologna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.35% (-0.043000000000006 -0.04)30.65% (0.041 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.11% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)66.89% (0.046000000000006 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Udinese 42.17%
    Bologna 31.58%
    Draw 26.24%
UdineseDrawBologna
1-0 @ 10.55% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.79% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-0 @ 7.43% (0.012 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.13% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-0 @ 3.49% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.44%
4-1 @ 1.45% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 1.23% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 42.17%
1-1 @ 12.48%
0-0 @ 7.49% (0.0040000000000004 0)
2-2 @ 5.2% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 0.96% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.24%
0-1 @ 8.86% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
1-2 @ 7.38% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.24% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.91% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.07% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.05% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 31.58%

How you voted: Udinese vs Bologna

Udinese
10.8%
Draw
16.9%
Bologna
72.3%
65
Head to Head
Apr 2, 2023 11.30am
Gameweek 28
Bologna
3-0
Udinese
Posch (3'), Moro (12'), Barrow (49')
Jan 15, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 18
Udinese
1-2
Bologna
Beto (10')
Sansone (59'), Posch (80')
Apr 24, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 34
Bologna
2-2
Udinese
Hickey (6'), Sansone (59')
Sansone (70'), De Silvestri (82')
Udogie (25'), Success (46')
Perez (30'), Pussetto (90')
Oct 17, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 8
Udinese
1-1
Bologna
Beto (83')
Pereyra (23'), Deulofeu (85')
Pereyra (38')
Barrow (67')
Svanberg (49'), Vignato (82'), Skorupski (84'), Soumaoro (84'), Dominguez (87'), Hickey (90'), Soriano (90+4')
May 8, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 35
Udinese
1-1
Bologna
De Paul (23')
Walace (66')
Orsolini (82' pen.)
Schouten (30')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta16121339172237
2Napoli16112324111335
3Inter Milan15104140152534
4Fiorentina1594228111731
5Lazio1610153023731
6Juventus16610026121428
7Bologna156722118325
8AC Milan156542416823
9Udinese166281925-620
10Empoli164751416-219
11Torino165471720-319
12Roma164481823-516
13Genoa163761324-1116
14Lecce164481027-1716
15Parma163672328-515
16Como163671828-1015
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1650112139-1815
18CagliariCagliari163581526-1114
19Monza161781421-710
20VeneziaVenezia1624101529-1410


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