We said: Roma 1-0 Udinese
Roma should return to winning ways this weekend, ahead of an important trip to Switzerland, where Europa League rivals Servette await next Thursday. As Udinese lack sufficient firepower to seriously threaten their hosts, they will leave the capital empty-handed.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 61.42%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Udinese had a probability of 16.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.83%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.57%), while for a Udinese win it was 0-1 (5.76%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.
0.05) 
-0.03) 
