Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 43.22%. A win for Udinese had a probability of 29.45% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.64%) and 2-0 (8.18%). The likeliest Udinese win was 0-1 (9.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bologna would win this match.
Result | ||
Bologna | Draw | Udinese |
43.22% | 27.33% | 29.45% |
Both teams to score 48.16% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.96% | 57.04% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.07% | 77.93% |
Bologna Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.84% | 26.16% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.76% | 61.24% |
Udinese Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.23% | 34.78% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.5% | 71.51% |
Score Analysis |
Bologna | Draw | Udinese |
1-0 @ 12.19% 2-1 @ 8.64% 2-0 @ 8.18% 3-1 @ 3.86% 3-0 @ 3.66% 3-2 @ 2.04% 4-1 @ 1.3% 4-0 @ 1.23% Other @ 2.12% Total : 43.21% | 1-1 @ 12.88% 0-0 @ 9.1% 2-2 @ 4.56% Other @ 0.79% Total : 27.33% | 0-1 @ 9.61% 1-2 @ 6.81% 0-2 @ 5.07% 1-3 @ 2.4% 0-3 @ 1.79% 2-3 @ 1.61% Other @ 2.17% Total : 29.45% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 26 |
2 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 31 | 15 | 16 | 25 |
3 | Fiorentina | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 25 | 10 | 15 | 25 |
4 | Inter Milan | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 26 | 14 | 12 | 25 |
5 | Lazio | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 25 | 14 | 11 | 25 |
6 | Juventus | 12 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 21 | 7 | 14 | 24 |
7 | AC Milan | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 14 | 6 | 18 |
8 | Bologna | 11 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 18 |
9 | Udinese | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 16 |
10 | Empoli | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 15 |
11 | Torino | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 14 |
12 | Roma | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 13 |
13 | Parma | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 12 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 12 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 17 | 27 | -10 | 12 |
15 | Como | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 10 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 10 |
17 | Genoa | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 22 | -13 | 10 |
18 | Lecce | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 21 | -16 | 9 |
19 | Monza | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 8 |
20 | VeneziaVenezia | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 8 |
> Serie A Full Table |