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Serie A | Gameweek 23
Feb 19, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Hellas Verona logo

Roma
1 - 0
Hellas Verona

Solbakken (45')
Mourinho (34'), Smalling (38')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Hien (28'), Ngonge (42')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Roma and Hellas Verona, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Salzburg 1-0 Roma
Thursday, February 16 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: Hellas Verona 1-0 Salernitana
Monday, February 13 at 5.30pm in Serie A

We said: Roma 1-1 Hellas Verona

Surely a close-fought tussle is on the cards in Rome, as neither side gives much way at the back these days - and they rarely score more than once themselves. As Roma may be distracted by European commitments, and their star man appears to be unavailable, Verona can nick a point at the Olimpico and boost their survival hopes still further. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 66.99%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 13.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.61%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.34%), while for a Hellas Verona win it was 0-1 (4.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.

Result
RomaDrawHellas Verona
66.99% (-0.637 -0.64) 19.63% (0.085999999999999 0.09) 13.38% (0.55 0.55)
Both teams to score 48.37% (1.274 1.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.09% (0.872 0.87)44.91% (-0.871 -0.87)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.74% (0.832 0.83)67.26% (-0.831 -0.83)
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.53% (0.079000000000008 0.08)12.46% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.58% (0.164 0.16)38.42% (-0.163 -0.16)
Hellas Verona Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.26% (1.408 1.41)44.74% (-1.407 -1.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.28% (1.113 1.11)80.72% (-1.111 -1.11)
Score Analysis
    Roma 66.98%
    Hellas Verona 13.38%
    Draw 19.63%
RomaDrawHellas Verona
2-0 @ 12.09% (-0.38 -0.38)
1-0 @ 11.61% (-0.4 -0.4)
2-1 @ 9.72% (0.077999999999999 0.08)
3-0 @ 8.39% (-0.239 -0.24)
3-1 @ 6.75% (0.074 0.07)
4-0 @ 4.37% (-0.111 -0.11)
4-1 @ 3.51% (0.05 0.05)
3-2 @ 2.71% (0.133 0.13)
5-0 @ 1.82% (-0.041 -0.04)
5-1 @ 1.46% (0.025 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.41% (0.073 0.07)
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 66.98%
1-1 @ 9.34% (0.046000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 5.58% (-0.212 -0.21)
2-2 @ 3.91% (0.18 0.18)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 19.63%
0-1 @ 4.49% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
1-2 @ 3.76% (0.163 0.16)
0-2 @ 1.8% (0.073 0.07)
2-3 @ 1.05% (0.087 0.09)
1-3 @ 1.01% (0.081 0.08)
Other @ 1.28%
Total : 13.38%

How you voted: Roma vs Hellas Verona

Roma
78.7%
Draw
14.9%
Hellas Verona
6.4%
94
Head to Head
Oct 31, 2022 5.30pm
Feb 19, 2022 5pm
Roma
2-2
Hellas Verona
Volpato (65'), Bove (84')
Pellegrini (38'), Oliveira (39'), Karsdorp (69')
Mourinho (90+1')
Barak (5'), Tameze (20')
Casale (16'), Gunter (89')
Sep 19, 2021 5pm
Hellas Verona
3-2
Roma
Barak (49'), Caprari (54'), Faraoni (63')
Faraoni (30'), Barak (51'), Hongla (83'), Casale (86')
Pellegrini (36'), Ilic (58' og.)
Veretout (18'), Cristante (71')
Jan 31, 2021 7.45pm
Sep 19, 2020 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli20152332122047
2Inter Milan19135148173144
3Atalanta BCAtalanta20134344212343
4Lazio2011363428636
5Juventus20713032171534
6Fiorentina1995532201232
7AC Milan1987429191031
8Bologna197932925430
9Roma217683127427
10Udinese207582328-526
11Genoa215881830-1223
12Torino205782025-522
13Empoli204881925-620
14Lecce2055101432-1820
15Parma204792535-1019
16Como204792233-1119
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona2061132444-2019
18CagliariCagliari2046101933-1418
19VeneziaVenezia2035121833-1514
20Monza2027111928-913


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